@ply-top3-clost-twet

#2,923,03372

0x0b4cd82afbda072e8139a1d6b4bc83d2e8ef4277

~68d· 222 markets · 1757 tradesVol: $209,7922026-10-06 22:39:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (28/117)0/20
2.87x (win $2,938 / loss $1,025)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.34215/15
Sortino 24.09010/10
$+0.4629 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 241 (117 markets)10/10
20/55 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($262 / $2,065)10/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#803,680$-197Vol: $189,702
🏛️ POLITICS#984,615$-2Vol: $5,780
🌤️ WEATHER#17,924$16Vol: $3,975
💰 FINANCE#645,215$-117Vol: $2,937
₿ CRYPTO#1,382,772$-41Vol: $2,833
📈 ECONOMICS#647,223$-27Vol: $1,545
⚽ SPORTS#1,694,036$-87Vol: $1,475
💻 TECH#256,013$-38Vol: $1,233

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-458
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$209,792
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
222
total markets
Trades
1082B / 675S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

Periods

#2
Today
$-25
Vol: $817
Week
$31
Vol: $4,001
Month
$-380
Vol: $21,344
All Time
$-458
Vol: $209,792

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
27W / 81L events
Realized PnL
$-355
Win Rate
25%
27W / 81L
Profit Factor
2.87x
Avg Win
$105
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,314 (6.526821976534296% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1,420
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$564
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$330
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$196
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$54
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$44
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$34
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$34
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$28

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-71
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$-53
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-39
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-37
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-35
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-35
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-34
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?$-32
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-27

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.173
Sortino
1.298
HHI
185
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.596
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.9%
Top-5 markets
23.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 432s — normal for humanCV 3.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.27
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60.5%
Mid (20-55c)9.1%
High (>55c)30.3%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 3:25:37 PM13 trades$7680 min
4/22/2026, 3:54:08 AM9 trades$3570 min
5/16/2026, 6:54:29 PM28 trades$35610 min
5/13/2026, 7:16:40 PM3 trades$3200 min
6/22/2026, 3:25:44 PM2 trades$2330 min
5/16/2026, 4:01:06 PM16 trades$20414 min
5/19/2026, 6:58:48 PM7 trades$1660 min
5/21/2026, 3:36:09 AM5 trades$1660 min
5/18/2026, 7:10:36 PM8 trades$1580 min
5/17/2026, 7:16:56 PM4 trades$1580 min
6/8/2026, 8:51:00 PM3 trades$1480 min
5/11/2026, 3:56:04 AM9 trades$1400 min
4/28/2026, 6:12:38 AM7 trades$1350 min
9/19/2026, 3:12:08 PM11 trades$12212 min
5/13/2026, 7:35:37 PM6 trades$1123 min
4/21/2026, 12:17:12 AM3 trades$1080 min
9/23/2026, 5:02:40 AM5 trades$1073 min
4/26/2026, 7:45:26 AM3 trades$1050 min
5/16/2026, 8:11:54 PM4 trades$1040 min
9/21/2026, 3:15:37 PM4 trades$1040 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-01
04-23
05-14
06-04
06-13
06-28
09-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 25 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.27/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.5 / M9.1 / H30.3