SakuraDevil

@SakuraDevil

#10,74484

0x0c3c6cedfc55e5977fd9ad1221b75d25c62a5eea

~323d· 557 markets · 6640 tradesVol: $2,290,1852026-08-05 15:52:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (370/513)20/20
1.62x (win $83,568 / loss $51,504)10.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.99315/15
Sortino 2.88310/10
$+0.0299 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 116 (513 markets)10/10
183/237 profitable days (77%)10/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($15,742 / $46,938)7.3/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Profitable
PnL $+12,747
DCA Master
Avg 12.1 entries/market
Whale
$1,072,816 invested
Consistent
183/237 profitable days
High Roller
$3,005/day
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#2,323$18,574Vol: $2,182,177
💰 FINANCE#658,004$-5,010Vol: $61,023
📈 ECONOMICS#16,217$62Vol: $14,467
💻 TECH#2,215$505Vol: $9,469
🎭 CULTURE#16,614$149Vol: $8,141
CRYPTO#1,371,283$-44Vol: $6,748
📢 MENTIONS#14,049$21Vol: $4,201
🌤️ WEATHER#285,920$-105Vol: $2,833
SPORTS#925,365$-1Vol: $324

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$14,162
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,290,185
Total Redeem
$13,597
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
557
total markets
Trades
3779B / 2861S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~323d

Periods

#2
Today
$-177
Vol: $3,614
Week
$452
Vol: $19,642
Month
$1,872
Vol: $21,084
All Time
$14,162
Vol: $2,290,185

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
370W / 143L events
Realized PnL
$12,747
Win Rate
72%
370W / 143L
Profit Factor
1.62x
Avg Win
$226
Avg Loss
$-399

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,853 (1.5574893484490826% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$7,726
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$6,663
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$5,464
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$4,410
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$3,580
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$3,362
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?$2,290
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$2,228
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$2,219
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$2,181

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-9,364
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$-7,047
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-4,158
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$-3,580
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-2,868
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-2,854
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$-2,445
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$-2,306
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-1,743
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,658

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.104
Sortino
0.076
HHI
98
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
13.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 480s — normal for humanCV 2.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.08
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.7%
Mid (20-55c)14.2%
High (>55c)76.1%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 12:28:07 AM9 trades$17,3712 min
5/4/2026, 1:54:44 AM36 trades$16,7222 min
2/27/2026, 3:43:03 PM9 trades$12,8256 min
4/1/2026, 1:13:11 AM7 trades$12,1331 min
6/15/2026, 7:15:42 AM19 trades$11,7019 min
6/6/2026, 12:27:01 PM2 trades$11,5710 min
5/14/2026, 12:48:23 AM19 trades$11,2484 min
4/13/2026, 2:17:03 AM5 trades$11,0270 min
2/27/2026, 3:24:27 PM10 trades$10,6415 min
3/15/2026, 7:24:49 AM2 trades$9,4002 min
2/28/2026, 6:55:33 AM1 trades$9,0700 min
5/28/2026, 3:18:57 AM2 trades$8,9470 min
2/9/2026, 1:41:29 AM5 trades$8,7899 min
5/18/2026, 11:50:37 AM1 trades$8,6110 min
1/31/2026, 5:08:26 PM6 trades$8,4243 min
5/10/2026, 2:12:23 PM13 trades$8,1897 min
5/5/2026, 1:32:24 AM12 trades$7,8215 min
1/22/2026, 10:17:00 AM2 trades$7,7564 min
5/12/2026, 2:46:42 AM10 trades$7,3982 min
6/8/2026, 12:57:03 AM2 trades$7,3590 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-09
09-25
11-27
01-30
03-26
05-21
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.7 / M14.2 / H76.1