@CW1975

#11,68856

0x0d7e9ddc0a0e6a7cd703ce8d1c0fd3b517a7cb13

~93d· 71 markets · 7162 tradesVol: $2,113,0292026-08-02 05:22:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (14/48)0/20
1.60x (win $30,412 / loss $19,010)10/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.13315/15
Sortino 4.33910/10
$+0.2412 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1671 (48 markets)4.1/10
11/25 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 54% of peak ($12,156 / $22,568)3.2/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+12,821
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
📈 ECONOMICS#2,200$1,684Vol: $1,263,013
🏛️ POLITICS#1,558,550$-189Vol: $753,487
🌤️ WEATHER#164$11,412Vol: $77,364
💰 FINANCE#597,258$-21Vol: $16,964
🎭 CULTURE#768,232$-63Vol: $2,202

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12,822
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,113,029
Total Redeem
$700
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
3324B / 3838S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~93d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $382
Week
$-1,025
Vol: $382
Month
$-19
Vol: $8,907
All Time
$12,822
Vol: $2,113,029

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
14W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$12,821
Win Rate
29%
14W / 34L
Profit Factor
1.6x
Avg Win
$2,172
Avg Loss
$-613

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,897 (2.0977827832668305% of PnL)

Top Winners

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$14,823
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$6,636
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$5,437
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?$1,511
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1,024
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?$680
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$103
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$78
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$76
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$24

Top Losers

Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-4,157
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$-3,603
Trump out as President by June 30?$-3,221
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-2,643
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-1,940
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-521
Trump out as President by April 30?$-471
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-455
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-400
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$-240

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.109
Sortino
0.185
HHI
610
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.288
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.5%
Top-5 markets
47.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
61.7
Very active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.2m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 162s — normal for humanCV 3.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock62 trades/day — mass trading0.6 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
134.04
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.8%
Mid (20-55c)15.7%
High (>55c)36.6%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 5:49:06 PM47 trades$110,68323 min
6/28/2026, 6:54:43 PM41 trades$20,6392 min
7/25/2026, 12:16:30 PM61 trades$17,1095 min
6/17/2026, 6:53:10 PM21 trades$16,5127 min
5/24/2026, 3:53:33 PM83 trades$13,5057 min
6/22/2026, 9:35:14 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/17/2026, 7:05:52 PM199 trades$9,96375 min
6/28/2026, 1:26:11 PM12 trades$9,8998 min
6/22/2026, 6:07:02 AM2 trades$8,7500 min
4/26/2026, 9:48:14 AM2 trades$7,6000 min
5/13/2026, 7:34:40 PM15 trades$6,2645 min
5/14/2026, 11:18:07 AM21 trades$5,8155 min
6/6/2026, 9:47:16 PM8 trades$5,7993 min
7/26/2026, 9:20:28 PM25 trades$5,64728 min
4/30/2026, 3:58:10 PM5 trades$5,5693 min
5/13/2026, 7:46:28 PM4 trades$5,1801 min
5/25/2026, 10:37:37 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
7/16/2026, 5:46:29 AM15 trades$4,9915 min
6/17/2026, 4:33:43 PM76 trades$4,96919 min
7/2/2026, 8:58:05 PM16 trades$4,3519 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-27
05-10
05-20
06-06
06-21
06-29
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 134.04/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.8 / M15.7 / H36.6