@plumppuppeteer
#173,369400x0ea8b1aee722929999ee2dbe2c9a5345b6584f33
~55d· 123 markets · 848 tradesVol: $70,8202026-09-10 08:37:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
92% (113/123)20/20
0.22x (win $469 / loss $2,177)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5400/15
Sortino -2.5300/10
$-0.0531 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 136 (123 markets)10/10
46/51 profitable days (90%)10/10
Max DD 547% of peak ($2,109 / $386)0/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 92%
Profitable
PnL $+211
DCA Master
Avg 7.0 entries/market
Consistent
46/51 profitable days
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
Categories
7🌤️ WEATHER#7,311$103Vol: $36,124
₿ CRYPTO#222,459$12Vol: $20,235
🎭 CULTURE#42,471$28Vol: $4,683
💰 FINANCE#32,632$33Vol: $4,432
📈 ECONOMICS#23,797$30Vol: $3,971
📢 MENTIONS#34,435$2Vol: $1,149
💻 TECH#29,460$4Vol: $226
Overview
#1Net PnL
$211
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,820
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
123
total markets
Trades
373B / 475S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
92%
113W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$211
Win Rate
92%
113W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.22x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-1,089
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $176 (0.8317571401550975% of PnL)
Top Winners
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$114
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7AM ET$33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$21
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3AM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$15
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$14
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?$13
Top Losers
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?$-1,769
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8AM ET$-408
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.132
Sortino
-0.034
HHI
137
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.052
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
14.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
8.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 246s — normal for humanCV 1.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity8 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.01
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)99.5%
Sessions
#127/20/2026, 2:27:49 PM3 trades$1,1500 min
6/21/2026, 7:49:01 AM19 trades$6154 min
6/10/2026, 11:37:55 AM4 trades$6024 min
6/28/2026, 8:56:37 AM2 trades$5990 min
7/2/2026, 8:00:56 PM3 trades$5751 min
7/2/2026, 7:48:01 PM12 trades$5726 min
6/6/2026, 4:36:12 PM2 trades$5680 min
7/16/2026, 11:49:53 AM3 trades$5631 min
6/21/2026, 10:47:20 AM16 trades$5334 min
5/13/2026, 1:25:51 PM2 trades$5230 min
6/21/2026, 9:49:35 AM10 trades$5123 min
4/28/2026, 2:15:14 PM5 trades$5011 min
6/21/2026, 8:56:38 AM2 trades$4990 min
6/20/2026, 3:37:14 PM4 trades$4890 min
4/24/2026, 6:39:16 AM2 trades$4860 min
6/30/2026, 3:57:46 PM2 trades$4810 min
5/4/2026, 1:36:24 PM21 trades$4790 min
6/20/2026, 7:53:55 AM1 trades$4790 min
6/19/2026, 4:29:46 PM1 trades$4760 min
6/19/2026, 3:51:59 PM1 trades$4700 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-02
05-10
06-05
06-14
06-22
07-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
14% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.01/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.5 / M0 / H99.5