perfectnostalgia

@perfectnostalgia

#1,47672

0x0ffcad4963e25dc150774363f4061ebe840c8236

~689d· 733 markets · 23368 tradesVol: $3,288,3452026-08-04 18:56:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (387/709)12.3/20
1.41x (win $311,056 / loss $220,798)7.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.71615/15
Sortino 2.14610/10
$+0.0630 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 104 (709 markets)10/10
203/343 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($48,228 / $135,017)6.9/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+134,796
Contrarian
75% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 31.6 entries/market
Whale
$1,431,765 invested
High Roller
$1,682/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#47$125,166Vol: $2,895,340
🏛️ POLITICS#5,369$6,366Vol: $273,700
💰 FINANCE#9,211$323Vol: $58,883
🎭 CULTURE#5,114$976Vol: $27,243
CRYPTO#131,343$47Vol: $2,119
💻 TECH#234,357$-19Vol: $1,388
SPORTS#871,940$-1Vol: $1,005
📢 MENTIONS#15,085$18Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$134,796
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,288,345
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
733
total markets
Trades
20068B / 3300S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~689d

Periods

#2
Today
$-284
Vol: $1,891
Week
$-609
Vol: $5,618
Month
$-160
Vol: $16,937
All Time
$134,796
Vol: $3,288,345

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
387W / 322L events
Realized PnL
$134,796
Win Rate
55%
387W / 322L
Profit Factor
1.41x
Avg Win
$804
Avg Loss
$-686

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $41,956 (0.31125322070470884% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?$15,325
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?$13,408
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?$13,222
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?$12,814
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?$9,766
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in September?$8,566
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$8,177
Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?$7,459
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?$7,281
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?$6,825

Top Losers

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$-37,650
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-9,880
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?$-9,034
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?$-8,940
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?$-7,938
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in September?$-6,039
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$-5,764
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?$-5,748
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?$-5,330
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$-5,266

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.090
Sortino
0.074
HHI
91
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.065
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
12.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.2m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
25.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 230s — normal for humanCV 4.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency0.9 markets/day — normal83% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
31.6
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.6%
Mid (20-55c)47.3%
High (>55c)25.1%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 9:23:54 PM17 trades$32,7676 min
5/6/2026, 9:55:57 PM118 trades$18,30218 min
4/28/2026, 6:36:34 PM71 trades$18,19911 min
12/18/2025, 10:02:39 PM8 trades$15,2185 min
6/25/2026, 11:51:35 AM3 trades$14,9810 min
6/22/2026, 8:33:46 PM19 trades$14,9135 min
5/13/2026, 7:12:37 PM13 trades$14,4130 min
1/13/2026, 5:14:57 PM1 trades$14,3700 min
9/25/2025, 12:41:08 PM2 trades$14,0000 min
7/21/2026, 8:07:01 PM47 trades$12,0967 min
8/1/2026, 9:12:51 PM123 trades$11,0695 min
7/23/2025, 9:53:10 PM17 trades$10,7699 min
5/15/2026, 10:23:45 PM60 trades$10,7434 min
3/18/2026, 9:22:05 PM75 trades$8,78825 min
10/29/2025, 6:01:03 PM17 trades$8,64811 min
5/14/2026, 6:56:56 PM25 trades$7,6805 min
2/21/2026, 5:28:44 AM16 trades$7,5601 min
9/29/2025, 12:01:55 PM3 trades$7,3811 min
10/26/2025, 4:04:15 PM4 trades$7,3143 min
2/12/2026, 11:20:37 PM39 trades$7,0586 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-10
11-20
03-19
08-01
12-14
03-14
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 31.6/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.6 / M47.3 / H25.1