dovetail

@dovetail

#3,024,15312

0x10251a3689408681fde34475c97fa4f749367e11

~95d· 479 markets · 7462 tradesVol: $851,7572026-08-02 05:18:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (170/457)3.6/20
0.97x (win $66,533 / loss $68,614)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4570/15
Sortino -0.7080/10
$-0.0152 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1618 (457 markets)4.4/10
28/74 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 230% of peak ($8,447 / $3,667)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
76% entries < $0.55
Whale
$136,975 invested
High Roller
$1,370/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,834,552$-1,181Vol: $480,258
CRYPTO#1,641,140$-1,830Vol: $26,583
🏛️ POLITICS#1,534,816$-119Vol: $1,800

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,316
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$851,757
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
479
total markets
Trades
3291B / 4171S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~95d

Periods

#2
Today
$120
Vol: $2,127
Week
$-4,495
Vol: $2,127
Month
$-2,015
Vol: $14,712
All Time
$-3,316
Vol: $851,757

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
170W / 287L events
Realized PnL
$-3,324
Win Rate
37%
170W / 287L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$391
Avg Loss
$-254

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,636 (1.9963417128966654% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$2,845
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$2,096
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1,695
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)$1,681
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)$1,678
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$1,607
O/U 2.5 Rounds$1,285
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$1,211
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)$1,201
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$998

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-2,299
O/U 1.5 Rounds$-1,307
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)$-1,278
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-1,169
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)$-1,016
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$-1,006
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$-972
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)$-807
Spread: Japan (-1.5)$-778
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5$-732

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.024
Sortino
-0.042
HHI
59
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
11.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
74.6
Very active
Markets / Day
4.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.8m
between trades
Night Trading
52%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
67.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 235s — normal for humanCV 1.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)52% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock75 trades/day — mass trading4.8 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.65
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17%
Mid (20-55c)58.6%
High (>55c)24.4%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 5:11:25 AM2704 trades$143,3853 min
6/1/2026, 4:28:26 PM12 trades$3,0420 min
6/23/2026, 5:24:29 PM34 trades$2,76020 min
6/1/2026, 2:38:15 PM13 trades$2,6322 min
5/1/2026, 1:19:00 AM10 trades$2,1342 min
5/2/2026, 2:53:34 AM14 trades$2,1304 min
6/22/2026, 4:55:02 PM21 trades$1,89314 min
6/18/2026, 9:55:55 PM12 trades$1,8046 min
6/19/2026, 3:37:29 PM31 trades$1,72618 min
6/24/2026, 9:47:58 PM5 trades$1,7060 min
6/16/2026, 9:18:29 PM19 trades$1,6646 min
6/16/2026, 8:24:08 PM28 trades$1,65213 min
6/20/2026, 11:45:17 PM22 trades$1,64310 min
6/19/2026, 7:55:11 PM21 trades$1,6373 min
6/15/2026, 12:56:42 AM14 trades$1,47911 min
6/27/2026, 7:12:59 PM14 trades$1,4498 min
6/15/2026, 6:27:24 PM49 trades$1,42729 min
5/2/2026, 4:37:44 PM6 trades$1,4263 min
6/7/2026, 5:01:39 PM26 trades$1,41010 min
6/1/2026, 2:57:42 PM7 trades$1,3581 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-18
06-08
06-20
07-02
07-16
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 49 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.65/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L17 / M58.6 / H24.4