@petersonandrew
#246,676620x105eeab73fd77b15ff8d0bd4f56b1b5cc1a6cb39
~36d· 78 markets · 608 tradesVol: $107,0022026-09-21 05:44:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (32/74)6.6/20
2.58x (win $87 / loss $34)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.86515/15
Sortino 9.13610/10
$+0.0084 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 4122 (74 markets)0/10
13/22 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 30% of peak ($23 / $76)7.9/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+107
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5⚽ SPORTS#171,198$49Vol: $89,684
🎭 CULTURE#25,901$71Vol: $10,329
₿ CRYPTO#1,276,029$-18Vol: $1,235
🏛️ POLITICS#1,014,400$-2Vol: $414
🌤️ WEATHER#138,376$0Vol: $6
Overview
#1Net PnL
$100
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$107,002
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
78
total markets
Trades
428B / 180S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-7
Vol: $13,595
All Time
$100
Vol: $107,002
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
32W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$107
Win Rate
43%
32W / 42L
Profit Factor
2.58x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-2
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $79 (0.7389963554807961% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$43
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$26
Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?$10
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0
Ethereum all time high by June 30?$0
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$0
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$-2
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?$-2
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?$-2
Yoon arrested by January 31?$-1
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-1
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?$-1
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$-1
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.198
Sortino
0.288
HHI
2340
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
46%
Top-5 markets
72.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.0m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 354s — normal for humanCV 4.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.8
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)39.5%
Mid (20-55c)9.6%
High (>55c)50.9%
Sessions
#1212/25/2025, 7:28:51 PM3 trades$1,3487 min
12/25/2025, 5:54:41 PM11 trades$1,2005 min
12/25/2025, 7:49:05 PM10 trades$1,19815 min
12/26/2025, 2:03:39 AM1 trades$9560 min
12/25/2025, 8:17:53 PM1 trades$9400 min
12/25/2025, 6:05:01 PM5 trades$8986 min
3/7/2025, 10:08:23 AM4 trades$7076 min
3/7/2025, 9:08:31 AM4 trades$4512 min
8/16/2026, 10:43:51 PM36 trades$4390 min
8/27/2026, 11:03:57 AM1 trades$4180 min
12/25/2025, 6:38:03 PM7 trades$3896 min
8/22/2026, 9:15:00 PM46 trades$24611 min
3/7/2025, 9:33:05 AM1 trades$2170 min
12/25/2025, 6:29:45 PM2 trades$2050 min
8/19/2026, 7:46:36 AM16 trades$1912 min
8/23/2026, 7:27:37 AM9 trades$18312 min
8/25/2026, 11:41:24 AM2 trades$1760 min
12/25/2025, 7:19:03 PM1 trades$1220 min
8/24/2026, 8:17:37 AM2 trades$1040 min
8/24/2026, 1:47:55 AM1 trades$870 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-11
01-26
02-07
03-07
04-20
08-10
12-26
08-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 132 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L39.5 / M9.6 / H50.9