@Welcome2026

#186,73925

0x1073d3b26ef0c5dbb37bf4e417801fa29d1bd8ba

~103d· 1799 markets · 7930 tradesVol: $198,1232026-08-04 20:09:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (815/1696)9/20
0.67x (win $5,352 / loss $8,023)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2200/15
Sortino -3.3440/10
$-0.0874 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 277 (1696 markets)10/10
56/101 profitable days (55%)6.4/10
Max DD 829% of peak ($3,406 / $411)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+171
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#114,141$114Vol: $61,858
CRYPTO#1,559,129$-279Vol: $50,776
🏛️ POLITICS#1,527,951$-108Vol: $36,377
🌤️ WEATHER#2,830$441Vol: $28,112
💰 FINANCE#111,965$2Vol: $7,683
🎭 CULTURE#747,697$-34Vol: $4,600
📈 ECONOMICS#592,081$-9Vol: $567
📢 MENTIONS#14,302$21Vol: $364
💻 TECH#19,537$8Vol: $310

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$171
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$198,123
Total Redeem
$4,130
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1799
total markets
Trades
4315B / 3615S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~103d

Periods

#2
Today
$6
Vol: $314
Week
$28
Vol: $1,182
Month
$-4
Vol: $1,857
All Time
$171
Vol: $198,123

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
815W / 881L events
Realized PnL
$171
Win Rate
48%
815W / 881L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $670 (3.9257695690413366% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bruins vs. Lightning$247
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5$216
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$207
Wild vs. Red Wings$186
Cavaliers vs. Lakers$177
Suns vs. Magic$144
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$134
Predators vs. Sharks$130
Maple Leafs vs. Kings$112
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-04-04?$109

Top Losers

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-670
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-652
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-529
Hornets vs. Timberwolves$-407
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-365
PSV vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5$-256
Timberwolves vs. 76ers$-246
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians$-177
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-175
Magic vs. Pelicans$-144

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.168
Sortino
-0.127
HHI
517
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.071
Kelly %
10.0%
Half-Kelly
5.0%
Top-1 market
13.4%
Top-5 markets
41.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
60.5
Very active
Markets / Day
13.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.2m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
42.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 294s — normal for humanCV 2.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock61 trades/day — mass trading14 markets/day — mass coverage57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.26
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.2%
Mid (20-55c)39.3%
High (>55c)41.6%

Sessions

#12
4/4/2026, 10:46:41 PM102 trades$4,5623 min
4/5/2026, 10:10:13 PM115 trades$4,0693 min
4/3/2026, 8:04:21 PM195 trades$3,91628 min
4/4/2026, 5:04:31 PM92 trades$3,8928 min
4/17/2026, 2:30:18 AM48 trades$2,4030 min
4/5/2026, 3:26:45 AM53 trades$2,06717 min
4/7/2026, 10:48:49 PM166 trades$1,9977 min
4/5/2026, 5:02:01 AM15 trades$1,9348 min
4/3/2026, 8:37:43 PM70 trades$1,6319 min
3/31/2026, 3:43:19 PM45 trades$1,4942 min
4/6/2026, 12:38:27 AM22 trades$1,1641 min
4/6/2026, 12:11:23 AM96 trades$1,1572 min
4/5/2026, 1:56:45 AM49 trades$1,1500 min
4/4/2026, 10:07:55 PM37 trades$1,14210 min
4/4/2026, 11:24:05 AM24 trades$1,1314 min
4/5/2026, 2:29:11 PM16 trades$1,0506 min
4/1/2026, 1:22:39 AM32 trades$1,0211 min
4/7/2026, 9:49:17 PM50 trades$1,01511 min
4/4/2026, 7:12:43 AM23 trades$9921 min
4/5/2026, 11:11:21 PM97 trades$82125 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-27
04-12
05-06
06-11
06-29
07-15
07-31
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 68 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.2 / M39.3 / H41.6