@gurenus

#3,109,02531

0x10d7853322eceb2e73f3e386e03056ae688aeb3b

~182d· 518 markets · 1868 tradesVol: $214,4562026-09-22 20:07:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (298/501)14.7/20
0.57x (win $5,884 / loss $10,250)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3830/15
Sortino -3.4870/10
$-0.0544 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 186 (501 markets)10/10
74/138 profitable days (54%)5.9/10
Max DD 534664% of peak ($4,705 / $1)0/10

Badges

3
Whale
$80,239 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,616,206$-827Vol: $173,000
CRYPTO#1,700,006$-2,619Vol: $31,013
SPORTS#195,477$31Vol: $2,917
💰 FINANCE#24,405$57Vol: $2,444
📢 MENTIONS#8,472$57Vol: $2,080
🎭 CULTURE#799,808$-192Vol: $800
📈 ECONOMICS#32,075$16Vol: $680
🌤️ WEATHER#254,321$-15Vol: $257
💻 TECH#26,422$5Vol: $161

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,451
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$214,456
Total Redeem
$184
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
518
total markets
Trades
1078B / 790S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~182d

Periods

#2
Today
$119
Vol: $1,117
Week
$581
Vol: $7,135
Month
$718
Vol: $14,398
All Time
$-3,451
Vol: $214,456

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
298W / 203L events
Realized PnL
$-4,106
Win Rate
59%
298W / 203L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-56

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,765 (0.4298349860702528% of PnL)

Top Winners

Prince Andrew released by February 19?$1,097
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$486
Prince Andrew released by February 20?$182
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$175
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$138
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$112
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?$107
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$93
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?$92
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$76

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$-1,000
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$-918
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-904
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?$-383
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$-356
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$-355
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$-348
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$-300
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$-292
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$-257

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.176
Sortino
-0.132
HHI
166
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.054
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6%
Top-5 markets
21.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 948s — normal for humanCV 2.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal2.3 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.79
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13%
Mid (20-55c)23.1%
High (>55c)63.9%

Sessions

#12
2/22/2026, 4:40:58 PM5 trades$4,1775 min
2/28/2026, 6:39:55 AM1 trades$3,1990 min
2/23/2026, 12:06:24 AM2 trades$3,0203 min
2/27/2026, 10:00:57 PM4 trades$2,6038 min
2/19/2026, 7:32:18 PM1 trades$2,4470 min
2/24/2026, 7:19:06 PM1 trades$2,3740 min
2/19/2026, 10:48:26 PM4 trades$2,30010 min
2/20/2026, 9:01:32 AM1 trades$1,9200 min
2/24/2026, 4:12:54 PM1 trades$1,8600 min
2/21/2026, 10:26:48 AM4 trades$1,7935 min
2/20/2026, 1:55:06 PM9 trades$1,7117 min
2/20/2026, 8:42:48 AM4 trades$1,4972 min
2/19/2026, 10:12:58 PM7 trades$1,45416 min
2/23/2026, 8:43:30 AM1 trades$1,3000 min
2/26/2026, 8:15:00 AM2 trades$1,2664 min
2/21/2026, 6:13:10 AM3 trades$1,2572 min
2/19/2026, 7:22:28 PM2 trades$1,2001 min
2/27/2026, 10:32:25 PM1 trades$1,2000 min
2/22/2026, 4:17:48 AM2 trades$1,1154 min
2/19/2026, 9:53:28 PM1 trades$1,0200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
02-14
03-11
04-12
05-14
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 174 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13 / M23.1 / H63.9