@qmmar

#22,41655

0x1191fabce7781f4179ddd3c205ad665cba79c092

~42d· 28 markets · 766 tradesVol: $626,2432026-10-08 02:09:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (11/23)8.9/20
1.44x (win $53,204 / loss $36,999)8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.47115/15
Sortino 2.08510/10
$+0.0697 per $1 invested3.5/10
HHI 1723 (23 markets)3.9/10
10/20 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 68% of peak ($34,508 / $50,620)0.4/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+16,930
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 31.3 entries/market
Whale
$232,502 invested
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders

Categories

8
💻 TECH#275,011$-39,601Vol: $396,049
💰 FINANCE#71$46,710Vol: $199,611
🌤️ WEATHER#4,143$265Vol: $14,959
₿ CRYPTO#1,394,400$-45Vol: $6,692
🏛️ POLITICS#1,619,581$-636Vol: $6,107
🎭 CULTURE#818,412$-691Vol: $2,396
📢 MENTIONS#169,481$-101Vol: $229
⚽ SPORTS#1,618,648$-49Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,852
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$626,243
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
688B / 78S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,015
Vol: $0
Week
$-23,245
Vol: $27,667
Month
$-20,876
Vol: $81,679
All Time
$5,852
Vol: $626,243

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
11W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$16,930
Win Rate
48%
11W / 12L
Profit Factor
1.44x
Avg Win
$4,837
Avg Loss
$-3,083

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $50,510 (2.9834947453478375% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$25,146
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$21,927
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?$3,437
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?$1,189
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?$1,159
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$92
Ethereum Up or Down on June 30?$71
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?$66
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$62
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$45

Top Losers

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?$-30,664
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?$-3,716
US military action against Iran before July?$-691
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-509
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-430
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?$-411
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-192
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 4?$-130
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?$-129
Netanyahu out by June 30?$-57

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.075
Sortino
0.078
HHI
1776
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.073
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.7%
Top-5 markets
82.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
50.4m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 116s — normal for humanCV 2.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
31.26
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.7%
Mid (20-55c)4.5%
High (>55c)54.8%

Sessions

#12
11/18/2025, 1:42:43 PM19 trades$14,66010 min
12/14/2025, 4:15:31 AM5 trades$13,2543 min
11/11/2025, 1:43:44 PM3 trades$11,1304 min
11/16/2025, 8:03:57 PM5 trades$10,3176 min
12/16/2025, 7:16:01 AM65 trades$8,50637 min
11/11/2025, 4:57:14 PM5 trades$7,0723 min
12/16/2025, 2:46:31 PM11 trades$6,18212 min
12/16/2025, 2:26:53 PM7 trades$5,88013 min
12/4/2025, 10:16:55 PM2 trades$5,3191 min
11/5/2025, 9:01:07 AM1 trades$5,0000 min
12/16/2025, 6:14:21 AM1 trades$5,0000 min
12/16/2025, 6:51:39 AM1 trades$5,0000 min
11/13/2025, 10:35:38 AM5 trades$4,9062 min
5/28/2026, 4:18:55 PM6 trades$4,8772 min
11/13/2025, 1:58:30 PM4 trades$4,1855 min
11/16/2025, 9:27:03 PM13 trades$4,00011 min
11/12/2025, 6:08:14 AM1 trades$3,8900 min
11/16/2025, 10:28:51 PM4 trades$3,6861 min
11/12/2025, 4:26:20 PM5 trades$3,5111 min
12/14/2025, 11:08:35 AM2 trades$3,5020 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
07-01
10-23
11-18
12-14
02-28
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 184 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 31.26/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.7 / M4.5 / H54.8