@diamondmuppet

#136,3350

0x11d5a9095dda71ba523a3d660850c72ecaecb52a

~16d· 16 markets · 96 tradesVol: $10,0872026-08-24 00:15:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

11% (1/9)0/20
0.04x (win $5 / loss $120)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -19.6600/15
Sortino -13.7420/10
$-0.0530 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 9688 (9 markets)0/10
1/7 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 2579% of peak ($120 / $5)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+354
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#32,009$376Vol: $5,485
SPORTS#1,510,353$-26Vol: $4,592
📢 MENTIONS#26,684$5Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$355
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,087
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
16
total markets
Trades
32B / 64S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-3
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $817
All Time
$355
Vol: $10,087

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
11%
1W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$354
Win Rate
11%
1W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5 (0.013141532896224285% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump say "Manufacture" or "Manufacturing" during Miami address?$5

Top Losers

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-35
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-17
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$-15
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-6
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$-4
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.953
Sortino
-1.032
HHI
5
Diversified
EV per $1
$-1.063
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
4.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
18.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1122s — normal for humanCV 2.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.89
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.6%
Mid (20-55c)21.9%
High (>55c)37.5%

Sessions

#12
7/22/2026, 8:53:45 AM2 trades$3,7100 min
6/22/2026, 7:31:08 PM9 trades$7620 min
8/6/2026, 2:50:27 PM2 trades$5180 min
3/5/2026, 10:24:01 AM1 trades$4280 min
6/22/2026, 7:21:25 PM16 trades$4221 min
5/18/2026, 10:53:30 AM11 trades$3863 min
7/21/2026, 9:18:00 AM2 trades$3330 min
7/20/2026, 1:28:21 PM2 trades$2570 min
5/18/2026, 1:20:48 PM9 trades$2411 min
8/21/2026, 12:55:37 PM10 trades$2200 min
6/22/2026, 6:58:58 PM6 trades$1350 min
6/22/2026, 7:52:59 PM3 trades$1188 min
6/21/2026, 8:05:16 AM4 trades$650 min
6/22/2026, 2:35:37 PM1 trades$480 min
6/22/2026, 9:01:50 PM2 trades$450 min
6/22/2026, 6:00:14 PM4 trades$320 min
3/17/2026, 6:31:47 PM1 trades$310 min
3/6/2026, 8:28:31 PM1 trades$200 min
3/26/2026, 11:13:11 AM1 trades$150 min
4/17/2026, 8:31:06 AM2 trades$150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-09
03-12
03-26
03-28
04-17
06-22
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 135 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.89/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.6 / M21.9 / H37.5