@0x121b3D…0863

#2,840,98911

0x121b3d90fee0dfe92e1103149c914360588970ac

~20d· 50 markets · 209 tradesVol: $10,2732026-08-26 09:16:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (22/48)7.9/20
0.17x (win $146 / loss $861)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.7660/15
Sortino -7.2140/10
$-1.0548 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2346 (48 markets)0.8/10
7/17 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 7346% of peak ($728 / $10)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.4 entries/market

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,582,771$-246Vol: $7,399
CRYPTO#1,498,018$-104Vol: $2,047
SPORTS#1,216,314$-5Vol: $455
🎭 CULTURE#708,597$-13Vol: $281
💰 FINANCE#355,391$-0Vol: $61
📈 ECONOMICS#74,839$3Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-361
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,273
Total Redeem
$20
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
75B / 134S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $11
Week
$1
Vol: $17
Month
$20
Vol: $151
All Time
$-361
Vol: $10,273

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
22W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-369
Win Rate
46%
22W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-37

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $75 (0.20324564492969574% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$7
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$6
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$4

Top Losers

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-427
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-117
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-71
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$-20
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$-14

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.394
Sortino
-0.326
HHI
3412
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.663
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
44.6%
Top-5 markets
106.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
52%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 206s — normal for humanCV 2.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)52% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.38
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.7%
Mid (20-55c)34.7%
High (>55c)38.7%

Sessions

#12
6/10/2026, 5:25:51 AM2 trades$1,2720 min
6/11/2026, 11:31:57 AM8 trades$9680 min
5/4/2026, 4:01:52 AM15 trades$5112 min
4/14/2026, 3:15:15 AM6 trades$2300 min
5/4/2026, 10:53:12 PM7 trades$1570 min
5/4/2026, 3:50:54 AM8 trades$1516 min
4/27/2026, 7:01:04 PM26 trades$8917 min
5/3/2026, 2:00:42 PM3 trades$830 min
4/24/2026, 1:09:38 PM2 trades$670 min
4/28/2026, 1:35:22 AM8 trades$665 min
5/2/2026, 3:31:24 AM8 trades$592 min
4/22/2026, 2:39:46 AM2 trades$500 min
4/27/2026, 5:11:08 AM10 trades$485 min
4/28/2026, 2:01:34 AM8 trades$454 min
4/18/2026, 8:58:28 PM4 trades$360 min
4/28/2026, 1:23:02 AM8 trades$366 min
5/16/2026, 9:07:47 PM8 trades$363 min
4/25/2026, 3:37:36 AM7 trades$271 min
4/14/2026, 3:56:09 AM2 trades$260 min
4/24/2026, 1:46:20 PM4 trades$240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
04-14
04-24
04-27
05-02
05-04
05-16
06-11
08-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 58 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.38/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L26.7 / M34.7 / H38.7