@nvvvbngvb

#1,685,21621

0x12348a17d29db091e428d83ec676cd977fdeca2d

~14d· 20 markets · 44 tradesVol: $55,8032026-09-21 12:08:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (11/19)13.9/20
0.93x (win $76 / loss $82)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8180/15
Sortino -1.0840/10
$-0.0003 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5529 (19 markets)0/10
5/10 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 137% of peak ($39 / $28)0/10

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#228,164$5Vol: $35,613
⚽ SPORTS#1,287,804$-7Vol: $20,093
🎭 CULTURE#143,841$1Vol: $32
📈 ECONOMICS#48,661$8Vol: $23
₿ CRYPTO#1,000,603$-3Vol: $19
📢 MENTIONS#133,446$-10Vol: $12
💰 FINANCE#168,372$0Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$55,803
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
26B / 18S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $9,798
Month
$-4
Vol: $9,798
All Time
$-6
Vol: $55,803

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
11W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-6
Win Rate
58%
11W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53 (9.312720848056538% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$24
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$21
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$8
Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?$6
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$4
Will Barcelona win La Liga?$3
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$3
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?$2
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$0

Top Losers

Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?$-28
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-20
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$-12
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$-10
Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$-5
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$-4
Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?$-2
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.041
Sortino
-0.061
HHI
1365
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
56.1%
Half-Kelly
28.1%
Top-1 market
36%
Top-5 markets
48.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
23s
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.11
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.7%
Mid (20-55c)15.4%
High (>55c)76.9%

Sessions

#12
11/13/2024, 9:09:19 AM16 trades$15,1553 min
9/20/2026, 9:18:51 AM4 trades$9,7980 min
3/18/2026, 12:29:43 PM2 trades$1,9990 min
11/15/2024, 5:22:33 AM5 trades$1,3202 min
6/23/2024, 5:16:51 PM2 trades$3001 min
7/2/2024, 1:47:17 PM2 trades$2294 min
9/4/2024, 7:36:28 PM1 trades$640 min
10/2/2025, 10:33:21 AM1 trades$500 min
1/19/2025, 1:21:17 PM1 trades$490 min
1/21/2025, 8:35:15 AM1 trades$370 min
5/15/2026, 2:36:02 PM4 trades$220 min
2/19/2025, 6:15:31 AM1 trades$190 min
7/3/2025, 9:12:07 AM2 trades$130 min
9/8/2024, 5:48:04 PM2 trades$120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-02
09-08
11-13
11-15
01-21
02-19
07-03
10-02
03-18
05-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 69 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.7 / M15.4 / H76.9