humbleBaker

@humbleBaker

#175,42436

0x1237d0dbe4ea22337bf82bc3fb36e81b708306af

~330d· 706 markets · 4032 tradesVol: $786,3202026-08-04 19:42:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (390/638)15.6/20
0.93x (win $14,531 / loss $15,551)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6540/15
Sortino -0.8210/10
$-0.0050 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 80 (638 markets)10/10
129/194 profitable days (66%)9.1/10
Max DD 204% of peak ($2,291 / $1,125)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+197
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.6 entries/market
Whale
$205,784 invested
Consistent
129/194 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,595,136$-476Vol: $384,503
SPORTS#125,779$93Vol: $123,069
🎭 CULTURE#10,674$309Vol: $119,412
💻 TECH#243,192$-45Vol: $50,497
💰 FINANCE#23,491$61Vol: $33,527
📈 ECONOMICS#7,660$230Vol: $29,014
CRYPTO#1,434,396$-74Vol: $16,693
🌤️ WEATHER#18,163$16Vol: $2,210
📢 MENTIONS#19,016$11Vol: $296

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$197
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$786,320
Total Redeem
$509
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
706
total markets
Trades
2101B / 1931S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~330d

Periods

#2
Today
$-15
Vol: $0
Week
$-17
Vol: $0
Month
$6
Vol: $0
All Time
$197
Vol: $786,320

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
390W / 248L events
Realized PnL
$197
Win Rate
61%
390W / 248L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$37
Avg Loss
$-66

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,679 (18.68678248501473% of PnL)

Top Winners

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5$1,477
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds$1,402
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$799
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$722
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5$637
Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik$492
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$432
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$373
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?$356
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$284

Top Losers

Sabres vs. Canadiens$-2,319
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$-1,847
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$-648
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner$-570
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 78 and 81%?$-398
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)$-381
Will Andrew Cuomo win Queens in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$-300
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$-293
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election be between 75 and 78%?$-284
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner$-276

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.034
Sortino
-0.028
HHI
62
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
11%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1428s — normal for humanCV 2.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.65
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.7%
Mid (20-55c)11.5%
High (>55c)57.9%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 11:18:01 AM155 trades$5,15728 min
1/8/2026, 1:19:21 AM1 trades$4,9980 min
1/22/2026, 2:07:52 PM10 trades$4,8782 min
1/22/2026, 1:35:06 PM3 trades$4,1153 min
10/11/2025, 4:38:16 AM3 trades$3,4982 min
10/9/2025, 8:57:38 AM2 trades$2,9350 min
5/12/2026, 6:55:52 AM29 trades$2,5046 min
1/25/2026, 1:08:00 AM1 trades$2,4930 min
7/3/2025, 3:22:41 PM2 trades$2,4622 min
5/12/2026, 10:36:09 PM4 trades$2,3520 min
2/4/2026, 8:18:41 PM1 trades$2,2620 min
1/1/2026, 1:12:09 AM17 trades$2,2206 min
5/12/2026, 10:50:59 AM4 trades$2,1770 min
5/12/2026, 3:26:45 PM6 trades$2,1463 min
8/27/2025, 11:00:55 AM2 trades$2,0473 min
8/26/2025, 3:48:41 PM3 trades$2,0092 min
10/8/2025, 11:15:02 AM1 trades$1,9620 min
4/27/2026, 9:18:54 PM20 trades$1,5671 min
5/30/2026, 3:59:35 PM2 trades$1,5630 min
7/2/2026, 2:03:49 PM50 trades$1,3807 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-05
07-16
09-07
10-14
01-18
04-29
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 57 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L30.7 / M11.5 / H57.9