@equilibrist

#2,857,63910

0x13c2a88c5e1e06cd4db8190e69aafb325ee4a619

~40d· 157 markets · 1554 tradesVol: $48,0882026-09-09 19:39:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

16% (19/118)0/20
0.44x (win $195 / loss $446)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -15.2360/15
Sortino -12.0020/10
$-0.2947 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 356 (118 markets)10/10
6/33 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 9515% of peak ($254 / $3)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#1,599,917$-299Vol: $41,137
🏛️ POLITICS#1,436,914$-32Vol: $3,989
📈 ECONOMICS#569,144$-4Vol: $2,068
💰 FINANCE#595,060$-15Vol: $829
🌤️ WEATHER#225,894$-4Vol: $65

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-355
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$48,088
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
157
total markets
Trades
698B / 856S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $103
Week
$-2
Vol: $108
Month
$-24
Vol: $2,489
All Time
$-355
Vol: $48,088

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
16%
19W / 99L events
Realized PnL
$-351
Win Rate
16%
19W / 99L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $139 (0.3950378421441985% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$62
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$6

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.785
Sortino
-0.825
HHI
137
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.316
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
14.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
25.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
27s
between trades
Avg Gap
33.5m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 27s — normal for humanCV 0.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock26 trades/day — high frequency2.6 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.18
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.1%
Mid (20-55c)36%
High (>55c)42%

Sessions

#12
7/15/2026, 6:20:11 PM2 trades$4500 min
7/9/2026, 8:41:59 PM4 trades$2200 min
8/30/2026, 9:45:07 PM7 trades$1342 min
7/22/2026, 5:55:10 PM20 trades$1295 min
7/22/2026, 5:43:54 PM31 trades$1146 min
9/3/2026, 10:30:42 PM4 trades$1120 min
9/1/2026, 5:34:22 PM15 trades$10710 min
7/8/2026, 8:10:14 PM20 trades$1063 min
7/8/2026, 11:41:07 AM7 trades$1063 min
7/22/2026, 6:05:49 PM56 trades$1029 min
7/19/2026, 12:37:40 AM9 trades$1010 min
7/20/2026, 9:35:10 PM41 trades$844 min
7/18/2026, 10:35:10 PM47 trades$8315 min
7/9/2026, 4:00:14 PM20 trades$824 min
7/20/2026, 11:11:18 PM8 trades$780 min
8/16/2026, 9:00:12 PM20 trades$705 min
7/18/2026, 11:15:09 PM21 trades$704 min
8/21/2026, 8:59:58 AM2 trades$690 min
7/8/2026, 9:55:07 PM34 trades$685 min
8/23/2026, 7:29:45 PM5 trades$680 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-08
07-16
07-22
08-01
08-14
08-22
08-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 59 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.1 / M36 / H42