Mccalls

@Mccalls

#282,8835

0x15476c291267fd8aafd1169f8b98d3ff293ca2f5

~10d· 14 markets · 132 tradesVol: $35,1102026-08-26 09:13:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (4/14)0/20
0.97x (win $181 / loss $186)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1940/15
Sortino -0.3430/10
$-0.0066 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1911 (14 markets)2.9/10
2/9 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 411% of peak ($174 / $42)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
CRYPTO#63,589$215Vol: $30,368
SPORTS#1,801,986$-440Vol: $2,804
💰 FINANCE#9,911$294Vol: $1,938

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$68
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$35,110
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
31B / 101S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Month
$381
Vol: $25,616
All Time
$68
Vol: $35,110

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
3W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-368
Win Rate
21%
3W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$45
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $181 (0.4917814546146113% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$101
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$25

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$-50
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-43
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$-36
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$-18
Ethereum Up or Down - August 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$-12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$-7
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.010
Sortino
-0.025
HHI
6850
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
77.8%
Top-5 markets
126.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
15
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 172s — normal for humanCV 1.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern9/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.14
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.5%
Mid (20-55c)45.2%
High (>55c)19.4%

Sessions

#12
7/5/2026, 6:51:35 PM2 trades$4000 min
5/27/2026, 4:54:07 PM20 trades$3463 min
8/9/2026, 5:40:27 PM25 trades$3165 min
8/8/2026, 10:15:21 AM29 trades$3024 min
7/8/2026, 11:54:56 AM2 trades$2040 min
7/1/2026, 7:32:16 PM4 trades$1480 min
7/1/2026, 6:20:16 PM6 trades$1280 min
6/27/2026, 8:04:47 AM3 trades$980 min
8/9/2026, 6:35:37 PM2 trades$740 min
7/2/2026, 2:41:05 PM9 trades$541 min
7/3/2026, 1:21:38 PM3 trades$540 min
7/1/2026, 11:25:32 AM4 trades$530 min
5/28/2026, 10:25:24 AM11 trades$521 min
8/9/2026, 6:30:33 PM8 trades$380 min
7/1/2026, 11:36:34 AM4 trades$361 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-27
05-28
06-27
07-01
07-02
07-03
07-08
08-08
08-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 72 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.14/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35.5 / M45.2 / H19.4