@0x159f…31cf

15

0x159fe289b9c6421e76355f8596bc05b2a08b31cf

~17d· 28 markets · 43 trades2026-08-26 09:13:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (14/25)13/20
0.77x (win $89 / loss $115)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1780/15
Sortino -3.0810/10
$-0.0029 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3170 (25 markets)0/10
4/11 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 1157% of peak ($81 / $7)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-18
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,101
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
30B / 13S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
14W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-18
Win Rate
56%
14W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $72 (3.9251774986346266% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$48
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$16
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$7
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?$5
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$3
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$1
Will Biden finish his term?$1
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? $1
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2024 Sinquefield Cup?$0

Top Losers

Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$-40
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in Assists?$-25
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-12
Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$-10
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-8
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-6
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$-5
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$-5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-2
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.109
Sortino
-0.164
HHI
89
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.016
Kelly %
35.7%
Half-Kelly
17.8%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
14.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
15s
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastCV 2.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.44
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.7%
Mid (20-55c)30%
High (>55c)53.3%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 8:16:07 AM2 trades$3,4040 min
7/7/2026, 4:02:46 PM2 trades$3,2000 min
8/9/2026, 10:22:49 AM7 trades$1,3961 min
8/27/2024, 3:00:57 PM8 trades$4492 min
8/18/2024, 9:41:48 AM4 trades$4171 min
1/28/2026, 3:06:29 PM1 trades$4000 min
1/30/2026, 5:12:44 PM1 trades$3990 min
12/2/2024, 11:14:14 AM4 trades$2071 min
12/3/2024, 7:08:31 PM1 trades$1900 min
1/23/2025, 9:52:59 PM1 trades$550 min
12/21/2024, 2:46:22 PM1 trades$400 min
1/27/2025, 3:29:49 PM1 trades$300 min
9/18/2025, 10:13:00 PM4 trades$150 min
12/30/2025, 10:39:51 AM2 trades$110 min
3/2/2025, 10:14:51 AM1 trades$100 min
12/7/2025, 8:18:21 PM2 trades$100 min
7/4/2025, 2:03:53 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-27
12-02
12-03
12-21
01-27
03-02
07-04
09-18
12-07
12-30
01-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 214 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.7 / M30 / H53.3