@rocroi

#1,76070

0x15c81b35df1404e5f4bacd63dcfa944b70fdd2d0

~43d· 50 markets · 847 tradesVol: $9,594,3382026-08-05 00:30:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (26/49)11.5/20
1.76x (win $314,623 / loss $178,828)12/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.49115/15
Sortino 4.72110/10
$+0.2430 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1287 (49 markets)6.1/10
17/32 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 120% of peak ($163,200 / $135,795)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+110,182
Lottery Player
52% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 30.9 entries/market
Whale
$558,934 invested
High Roller
$2,973/day

Categories

3
SPORTS#787$106,187Vol: $9,573,691
🏛️ POLITICS#1,597,543$-502Vol: $8,265
🎭 CULTURE#5,466$885Vol: $1,178

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$110,182
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,594,338
Total Redeem
$74
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
221B / 626S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$15
Vol: $0
Week
$12
Vol: $0
Month
$-6
Vol: $0
All Time
$110,182
Vol: $9,594,338

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
26W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$110,182
Win Rate
53%
26W / 23L
Profit Factor
1.76x
Avg Win
$12,101
Avg Loss
$-7,775

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $271,581 (2.464844045676584% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$99,707
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$90,513
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)$81,361
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$12,865
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7,708
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$7,295
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$4,346
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimova$3,632
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs$1,688
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs 33 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage$1,650

Top Losers

Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)$-83,571
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-39,631
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-24,015
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-15,931
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-03-22?$-6,973
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-4,751
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-2,250
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B$-801
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?$-375
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?$-127

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.128
Sortino
0.184
HHI
3857
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.139
Kelly %
19.4%
Half-Kelly
9.7%
Top-1 market
40.8%
Top-5 markets
121.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 248s — normal for humanCV 3.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
30.86
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)51.6%
Mid (20-55c)20.8%
High (>55c)27.6%

Sessions

#12
2/18/2026, 12:07:00 PM4 trades$114,1611 min
6/25/2026, 7:54:50 PM8 trades$95,0582 min
6/2/2026, 4:57:23 PM69 trades$90,5382 min
7/12/2026, 5:15:02 PM34 trades$85,7960 min
6/24/2026, 6:59:47 PM9 trades$82,9402 min
6/16/2026, 11:13:24 AM341 trades$60,0241 min
6/4/2026, 11:18:55 AM44 trades$59,8860 min
6/3/2026, 10:24:09 AM41 trades$53,0723 min
6/9/2026, 9:31:25 AM48 trades$52,7087 min
6/2/2026, 5:34:35 PM8 trades$40,0490 min
7/13/2026, 1:43:17 PM28 trades$28,3190 min
3/6/2026, 12:03:41 AM1 trades$22,6250 min
3/24/2026, 3:29:49 PM1 trades$6,8010 min
3/16/2026, 1:35:17 PM3 trades$6,5072 min
6/25/2026, 7:21:56 PM10 trades$5,7008 min
3/24/2026, 6:25:01 PM3 trades$5,6378 min
2/20/2026, 12:58:24 PM1 trades$5,4320 min
3/23/2026, 7:04:09 PM1 trades$4,8790 min
3/23/2026, 6:20:19 PM3 trades$4,5575 min
3/6/2026, 12:21:03 AM1 trades$4,3020 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-07
01-29
02-20
03-10
03-25
06-04
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 30.86/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51.6 / M20.8 / H27.6