Valen9

@Valen9

#57794

0x162f6fff88a52864f2ecc9833e58089d5254798d

~182d· 618 markets · 34746 tradesVol: $28,671,7072026-08-02 04:06:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (355/547)17.4/20
2.72x (win $3,447,517 / loss $1,267,080)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.50915/15
Sortino 7.78710/10
$+0.2292 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 165 (547 markets)10/10
77/134 profitable days (57%)6.9/10
Max DD 23% of peak ($570,357 / $2,453,960)9.4/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+323,407
DCA Master
Avg 58.9 entries/market
Whale
$9,514,428 invested
High Roller
$51,429/day
Cool Head
Max DD 23%
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#113$445,237Vol: $22,972,375
📈 ECONOMICS#682,325$-158,907Vol: $4,292,116
💰 FINANCE#656,950$-8,396Vol: $338,314
SPORTS#3,153$17,818Vol: $302,204
🎭 CULTURE#1,029$8,008Vol: $267,958
CRYPTO#1,368$31,204Vol: $188,036
📢 MENTIONS#273$6,730Vol: $79,033
💻 TECH#1,138$1,336Vol: $33,373

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$356,343
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,671,707
Total Redeem
$361,450
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
618
total markets
Trades
20645B / 14101S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~182d

Periods

#2
Today
$37,205
Vol: $54,240
Week
$35,494
Vol: $54,240
Month
$45,384
Vol: $244,804
All Time
$356,343
Vol: $28,671,707

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
355W / 192L events
Realized PnL
$323,407
Win Rate
65%
355W / 192L
Profit Factor
2.72x
Avg Win
$9,711
Avg Loss
$-6,634

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,384,125 (7.371901056946689% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,869,759
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$268,635
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$245,730
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$128,093
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$101,987
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$86,952
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$72,311
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$43,521
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$39,442
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$30,014

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-266,889
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-159,649
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-122,747
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-64,938
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-47,140
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-44,791
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-37,719
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-37,406
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$-36,735
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$-33,972

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.079
Sortino
0.278
HHI
108
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.260
Kelly %
32.5%
Half-Kelly
16.3%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
17.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
187.8
Very active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.1m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
38.1

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 92s — normal for humanCV 4.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock188 trades/day — automation3.3 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
58.94
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.6%
Mid (20-55c)20%
High (>55c)63.4%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:40:21 PM97 trades$215,17022 min
4/8/2026, 12:02:41 AM10 trades$184,03418 min
6/19/2026, 11:13:13 PM27 trades$160,3277 min
5/24/2026, 8:11:55 PM36 trades$147,3060 min
4/7/2026, 7:56:05 PM22 trades$134,6599 min
4/8/2026, 9:14:25 PM35 trades$104,87426 min
6/14/2026, 9:16:01 PM77 trades$100,80031 min
4/21/2026, 6:47:42 PM38 trades$100,5818 min
6/10/2026, 12:16:07 PM41 trades$100,5279 min
4/22/2026, 5:50:38 PM6 trades$100,0110 min
5/6/2026, 10:41:38 AM16 trades$99,6030 min
7/3/2026, 11:15:10 PM5 trades$95,6988 min
6/10/2026, 12:31:19 PM67 trades$89,91411 min
5/7/2026, 10:36:48 AM22 trades$85,9644 min
7/25/2026, 5:34:51 PM18 trades$85,8774 min
4/5/2026, 3:21:47 PM7 trades$81,5160 min
6/13/2026, 11:01:34 AM98 trades$79,81215 min
6/4/2026, 8:58:40 PM19 trades$79,5969 min
5/1/2026, 9:26:28 PM20 trades$78,8344 min
5/10/2026, 9:38:13 AM45 trades$78,3210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
02-20
03-20
04-14
05-09
06-11
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 43 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 58.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.6 / M20 / H63.4