oracletech

@oracletech

#238,26716

0x164b6ad433e78bc62dd40234fef9f67a793f8b5a

~39d· 50 markets · 393 tradesVol: $15,1612026-08-26 10:44:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (17/42)5.2/20
0.62x (win $1,153 / loss $1,856)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2220/15
Sortino -3.7220/10
$-0.1721 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 898 (42 markets)8/10
11/28 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,063 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+1

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,410,948$-26Vol: $5,698
💻 TECH#3,603$242Vol: $2,867
SPORTS#1,536,727$-31Vol: $2,045
🎭 CULTURE#785,103$-90Vol: $1,050
📈 ECONOMICS#15,229$72Vol: $693
CRYPTO#1,354,385$-33Vol: $391
💰 FINANCE#40,701$20Vol: $320

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$103
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,161
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
217B / 176S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $44
Week
$18
Vol: $408
Month
$232
Vol: $3,725
All Time
$103
Vol: $15,161

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
17W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$1
Win Rate
40%
17W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$68
Avg Loss
$-77

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $595 (901.1666666666666% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$355
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$152
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$89
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$78
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$72
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$63
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$56
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$53
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$47
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$35

Top Losers

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-547
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-204
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$-189
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-180
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-164
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$-133
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-100
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?$-82
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$-80
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?$-75

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.166
Sortino
-0.177
HHI
703
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.174
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.5%
Top-5 markets
49.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 255s — normal for humanCV 1.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.74
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.4%
Mid (20-55c)24.4%
High (>55c)51.2%

Sessions

#12
6/10/2026, 10:43:04 PM4 trades$4840 min
7/20/2026, 10:03:21 PM14 trades$3713 min
6/24/2026, 8:53:11 PM6 trades$3272 min
6/8/2026, 12:41:55 PM16 trades$2262 min
7/26/2026, 2:55:46 PM2 trades$2250 min
7/23/2026, 12:33:12 PM2 trades$2140 min
7/27/2026, 6:00:03 AM2 trades$2080 min
7/23/2026, 4:37:03 PM4 trades$2020 min
6/9/2026, 11:01:49 PM17 trades$1957 min
7/22/2026, 9:44:45 AM6 trades$1811 min
6/4/2026, 11:34:46 PM8 trades$1691 min
6/19/2026, 11:50:26 PM2 trades$1480 min
8/5/2026, 1:07:39 AM14 trades$1461 min
6/9/2026, 9:14:04 AM1 trades$1330 min
7/21/2026, 8:53:12 AM7 trades$1326 min
7/23/2026, 5:23:01 PM7 trades$1321 min
8/3/2026, 1:17:32 PM1 trades$1240 min
8/5/2026, 1:41:20 PM6 trades$1131 min
6/24/2026, 11:46:05 PM2 trades$1120 min
6/17/2026, 1:14:25 PM12 trades$1081 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-16
06-03
06-11
06-21
06-26
07-19
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.4 / M24.4 / H51.2