@10jOY

#2,323,82329

0x16e25f857c65fc1fd841d20c1b10154267ead6b9

~17d· 62 markets · 117 tradesVol: $106,6622026-10-05 09:59:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (38/59)17.2/20
0.64x (win $46 / loss $73)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6050/15
Sortino -2.7120/10
$-0.0046 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1542 (59 markets)4.8/10
8/14 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 471% of peak ($54 / $11)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 64%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

7
📈 ECONOMICS#659,027$-47Vol: $100,028
🎭 CULTURE#83,906$6Vol: $3,698
💰 FINANCE#117,276$2Vol: $1,743
🏛️ POLITICS#237,228$4Vol: $504
₿ CRYPTO#1,011,646$-4Vol: $403
⚽ SPORTS#498,243$0Vol: $243
📢 MENTIONS#74,858$-0Vol: $42

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-40
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$106,662
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
62
total markets
Trades
79B / 38S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Week
$-2,627
Vol: $977
Month
$-2,625
Vol: $977
All Time
$-40
Vol: $106,662

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
33W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-41
Win Rate
61%
33W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20 (0.47768395657418566% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$10
Will Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during January press conference?$6
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$4
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$3
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12PM ET$3
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?$3
Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?$2
Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$1
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?$1

Top Losers

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$-25
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?$-25
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?$-3
Will Trump say "AUKUS" during Australia PM events on October 20?$-2
Will Powell say "deport" or "deportation" during January press conference?$-2
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Best Country Album?$-2
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during Australia PM events on October 20?$-2
Will Trump say "Pacific" during Australia PM events on October 20?$-2
Netanyahu out by June 30?$-2
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 10?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.131
Sortino
-0.096
HHI
370
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
34.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
32.5m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 2.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.92
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.4%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)77.2%

Sessions

#12
5/10/2026, 11:10:40 AM17 trades$1,2454 min
9/29/2026, 7:04:06 PM17 trades$9671 min
5/10/2026, 7:23:05 PM5 trades$7020 min
5/11/2026, 1:29:13 AM1 trades$5820 min
5/10/2026, 3:14:49 PM3 trades$5132 min
3/16/2026, 1:52:15 PM7 trades$4024 min
3/20/2026, 4:37:53 PM4 trades$3904 min
5/16/2026, 8:02:15 PM12 trades$3451 min
8/8/2026, 10:34:12 AM2 trades$3000 min
12/12/2024, 5:03:39 PM3 trades$2891 min
5/10/2026, 1:41:54 PM5 trades$2522 min
5/10/2026, 2:02:45 PM1 trades$1860 min
12/4/2024, 1:53:16 PM6 trades$1661 min
1/26/2025, 4:54:43 PM8 trades$1153 min
6/3/2024, 7:13:19 PM1 trades$1080 min
6/8/2024, 4:19:57 PM1 trades$950 min
5/10/2026, 2:39:11 PM1 trades$600 min
7/9/2025, 12:46:52 PM5 trades$591 min
1/27/2025, 2:05:53 PM2 trades$500 min
10/19/2025, 8:05:57 PM8 trades$161 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
09-22
12-12
01-27
10-19
03-20
05-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 414 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.4 / M11.4 / H77.2