@Bugsygoingdeep

#3,005,9231

0x181a3025133a9587c4659d5a04decfae9dcffff6

~39d· 95 markets · 223 tradesVol: $95,4052026-08-25 08:10:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

8% (8/95)0/20
0.34x (win $774 / loss $2,258)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.2680/15
Sortino -8.4500/10
$-0.7120 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2364 (95 markets)0.7/10
3/37 profitable days (8%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,484 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
📈 ECONOMICS#672,106$-162Vol: $36,853
⚽ SPORTS#1,835,694$-902Vol: $31,652
🏛️ POLITICS#1,558,263$-156Vol: $18,260
🎭 CULTURE#803,811$-217Vol: $4,718
₿ CRYPTO#1,465,734$-83Vol: $2,909
💰 FINANCE#550,284$-5Vol: $960
📢 MENTIONS#130,988$-10Vol: $53

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,535
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$95,405
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
95
total markets
Trades
134B / 89S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
8%
8W / 87L events
Realized PnL
$-1,535
Win Rate
8%
8W / 87L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$97
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $590 (0.3843122439275409% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?$210
US military action against Iran by Saturday?$190
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?$190
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$138
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?$35

Top Losers

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$-350
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-320
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$-100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$-80
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$-80
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?$-50
Iran leadership change by March 31?$-50
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia?$-50
Israel military action against Iraq by Sunday?$-49
Ethereum Up or Down on June 22?$-45

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.427
Sortino
-0.522
HHI
545
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.584
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.8%
Top-5 markets
38.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 256s — normal for humanCV 1.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.65
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)82.1%
Mid (20-55c)14.9%
High (>55c)3%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 9:20:02 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
4/8/2026, 4:33:13 PM2 trades$1,4290 min
6/26/2026, 9:59:08 PM20 trades$1,1574 min
6/22/2026, 5:54:20 PM10 trades$9403 min
6/26/2026, 9:42:35 PM6 trades$8992 min
7/19/2026, 5:18:25 PM3 trades$7810 min
2/28/2026, 7:41:11 PM1 trades$2380 min
6/14/2026, 5:58:10 PM4 trades$2370 min
6/14/2026, 6:28:21 PM13 trades$2182 min
5/30/2026, 5:28:05 PM7 trades$2051 min
4/28/2026, 8:53:24 PM4 trades$2010 min
6/16/2026, 6:58:17 PM2 trades$1670 min
4/25/2026, 4:20:04 PM4 trades$1580 min
4/23/2026, 6:25:14 PM10 trades$1430 min
6/16/2026, 9:17:20 PM4 trades$1401 min
6/18/2025, 4:31:34 PM3 trades$1301 min
4/8/2026, 7:31:13 PM11 trades$1291 min
4/28/2026, 8:42:42 PM4 trades$1202 min
4/8/2026, 10:55:15 AM4 trades$1030 min
2/28/2026, 1:36:39 PM2 trades$1002 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-05
07-21
09-28
02-09
03-28
05-30
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.65/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L82.1 / M14.9 / H3