Polydata
bondbondbond

@bondbondbond

#31,30656

0x194044a58ab7a66d461cdb9601a281f99ca50ea1

~39d· 147 markets · 1148 tradesVol: $133,3982026-07-31 12:05:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (107/127)20/20
1.09x (win $4,295 / loss $3,958)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4047.6/15
Sortino 0.5075.1/10
$+0.0069 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 641 (127 markets)9.3/10
21/27 profitable days (78%)10/10
Max DD 473% of peak ($2,642 / $558)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+3,830
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Consistent
21/27 profitable days
High Roller
$1,113/day
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#15,374$1,273Vol: $29,142
📢 MENTIONS#146,824$-25Vol: $4,351
🎭 CULTURE#15,472$165Vol: $1,908
SPORTS#303,335$7Vol: $1,304
💰 FINANCE#501,259$-2Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,837
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$133,398
Total Redeem
$20,551
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
147
total markets
Trades
423B / 725S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Today
$120
Vol: $532
Week
$123
Vol: $2,851
Month
$2,095
Vol: $80,177
All Time
$3,837
Vol: $133,398

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
84%
107W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$3,830
Win Rate
84%
107W / 20L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$40
Avg Loss
$-247

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,691 (0.7025966293953906% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Shopify Rebellion Black Win North America ACE Stage 3$1,438
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$966
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage$287
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha$240
Valorant: 9z Team vs OXEN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season$224
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage$178
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$152
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026?$119
Will BBL Esports be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026?$88
Will Team Heretics win the EWC Valorant Tournament$70

Top Losers

Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$-1,238
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$-1,138
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-817
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$-412
Will SaD Esports Win North America ACE Stage 3$-147
Will Azure Dragon Gaming Win North America ACE Stage 3$-73
Will anyone say "Space" during Rick and Morty E5 S9?$-51
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026?$-36
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage$-34
Will NRG win the EWC Valorant Tournament$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.021
Sortino
0.014
HHI
461
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.7%
Top-5 markets
37.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.1
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 975s — normal for humanCV 3.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock26 trades/day — high frequency3.3 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.77
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.2%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)83.5%

Sessions

#12
7/10/2026, 7:03:58 PM3 trades$8,2170 min
6/19/2026, 6:08:26 PM2 trades$6,6180 min
6/19/2026, 11:14:17 PM11 trades$4,3983 min
7/10/2026, 1:37:37 PM31 trades$4,1123 min
6/19/2026, 10:57:19 PM19 trades$3,7422 min
7/6/2026, 11:02:47 PM3 trades$3,5030 min
7/23/2026, 5:28:21 PM5 trades$3,1700 min
7/9/2026, 2:23:20 PM13 trades$2,3601 min
6/18/2026, 2:18:31 PM81 trades$1,92910 min
7/12/2026, 5:45:14 PM12 trades$1,8114 min
7/21/2026, 3:08:39 PM8 trades$1,4750 min
6/20/2026, 8:35:05 PM17 trades$1,0199 min
6/19/2026, 1:02:02 PM7 trades$8871 min
6/18/2026, 5:31:58 PM53 trades$71513 min
7/25/2026, 1:21:09 AM18 trades$6043 min
6/20/2026, 11:06:49 PM8 trades$5512 min
6/28/2026, 12:09:46 AM16 trades$5422 min
6/20/2026, 5:50:35 PM4 trades$4990 min
6/21/2026, 1:18:38 PM7 trades$4833 min
7/31/2026, 1:25:12 AM8 trades$4420 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
06-22
06-28
07-05
07-09
07-13
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.2 / M2.4 / H83.5