@Election2024
#3,063,645100x19580c442085fb520ac9c56edc1a7a97fdf4310b
~97d· 100 markets · 3166 tradesVol: $2,014,6512026-08-03 18:32:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
27% (23/86)0/20
0.44x (win $9,153 / loss $20,956)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.4430/15
Sortino -6.1590/10
$-0.1517 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 473 (86 markets)10/10
13/45 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 453% of peak ($15,145 / $3,341)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
81% entries < $0.20
Whale
$77,813 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5📈 ECONOMICS#682,533$-13,423Vol: $1,625,403
🏛️ POLITICS#1,619,060$-1,310Vol: $306,768
₿ CRYPTO#1,644,082$-1,893Vol: $75,776
🎭 CULTURE#10,174$340Vol: $4,000
⚽ SPORTS#1,788,645$-445Vol: $2,505
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-16,758
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,014,651
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
100
total markets
Trades
1295B / 1871S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~97d
Periods
#2Today
$-237
Vol: $0
Week
$-237
Vol: $27,750
Month
$-194
Vol: $27,750
All Time
$-16,758
Vol: $2,014,651
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
27%
23W / 63L events
Realized PnL
$-16,758
Win Rate
27%
23W / 63L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$398
Avg Loss
$-333
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,658 (0.2779662109263113% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$1,993
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$1,940
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$725
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?$607
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$559
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$547
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House$447
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in October?$380
Biden drops out of presidential race?$340
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?$337
Top Losers
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-1,920
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?$-1,852
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?$-1,584
Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?$-1,516
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-1,335
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-1,214
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-867
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-779
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-676
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$-603
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.282
Sortino
-0.350
HHI
334
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.173
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
33.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
44.2m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
39.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — normal for humanCV 2.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
18.15
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)81.4%
Mid (20-55c)10.1%
High (>55c)8.5%
Sessions
#125/4/2026, 9:54:32 PM62 trades$8,4699 min
5/12/2026, 9:43:59 AM57 trades$8,4157 min
5/12/2026, 10:45:53 PM136 trades$8,04315 min
6/5/2026, 12:50:48 PM217 trades$7,9506 min
5/12/2026, 10:26:48 AM115 trades$7,21410 min
5/4/2026, 9:36:32 PM64 trades$6,32810 min
5/4/2026, 11:33:08 PM126 trades$6,31411 min
5/19/2026, 8:06:40 PM143 trades$6,3089 min
8/2/2026, 1:56:45 PM28 trades$5,4923 min
7/31/2026, 8:11:11 PM61 trades$5,3497 min
8/2/2026, 12:09:11 AM44 trades$4,5932 min
6/3/2026, 10:32:45 AM190 trades$4,41718 min
5/14/2026, 8:10:52 PM101 trades$3,39612 min
7/31/2026, 9:12:17 PM90 trades$3,3492 min
10/18/2024, 5:00:17 PM26 trades$2,93217 min
7/31/2026, 8:42:06 PM15 trades$2,8710 min
7/31/2026, 7:55:53 PM105 trades$2,86410 min
9/13/2024, 12:05:08 AM2 trades$2,8000 min
11/5/2024, 9:54:43 PM11 trades$2,78315 min
8/2/2024, 3:06:16 PM6 trades$2,4084 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-03
08-02
11-01
11-20
12-09
05-10
05-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 627 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.15/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L81.4 / M10.1 / H8.5