@0x196e9D…4658

#2,931,2437

0x196e9d0d3b34f40c78404658d0fd1536ed271b86

~20d· 47 markets · 229 tradesVol: $32,5772026-10-05 06:39:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

9% (3/34)0/20
0.16x (win $94 / loss $588)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.3540/15
Sortino -8.5790/10
$-0.5678 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1102 (34 markets)7/10
3/15 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($495 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
73% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
💰 FINANCE#659,249$-465Vol: $28,545
🏛️ POLITICS#1,485,098$-55Vol: $3,767
📈 ECONOMICS#27,321$23Vol: $266

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-498
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,577
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
81B / 148S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$-7
Vol: $0
Week
$-32
Vol: $5,606
Month
$-43
Vol: $7,904
All Time
$-498
Vol: $32,577

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
9%
3W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-498
Win Rate
9%
3W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.16x
Avg Win
$31
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $94 (0.18821094095421845% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$60
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?$2

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$-240
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$-40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?$-40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$-20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?$-20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$-20
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$-20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?$-20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?$-20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.473
Sortino
-0.475
HHI
2855
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.554
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
49.3%
Top-5 markets
78.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 1.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.91
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)72.8%
Mid (20-55c)6.2%
High (>55c)21%

Sessions

#12
10/2/2026, 10:30:45 AM25 trades$3,1701 min
7/23/2026, 9:20:31 AM17 trades$2,6920 min
4/8/2026, 8:53:41 PM4 trades$9000 min
5/2/2026, 8:00:46 PM6 trades$7431 min
6/7/2026, 10:04:54 PM21 trades$7371 min
9/18/2026, 9:35:16 PM5 trades$5990 min
5/1/2026, 1:27:48 PM10 trades$5940 min
4/23/2026, 10:41:42 PM18 trades$4961 min
7/2/2026, 11:16:07 PM24 trades$4657 min
5/6/2026, 12:37:42 AM9 trades$4046 min
7/14/2026, 8:21:02 AM11 trades$3940 min
6/6/2026, 12:02:04 AM10 trades$2900 min
4/5/2026, 6:06:35 PM8 trades$2711 min
7/3/2026, 3:20:32 PM14 trades$1731 min
4/24/2026, 1:09:14 PM10 trades$930 min
4/5/2026, 6:17:21 PM4 trades$875 min
7/8/2026, 10:22:46 PM10 trades$760 min
7/1/2026, 8:11:01 AM6 trades$511 min
6/5/2026, 8:44:01 PM2 trades$300 min
4/9/2026, 2:36:35 PM2 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-05
04-09
04-24
05-02
06-06
07-01
07-14
09-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.91/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L72.8 / M6.2 / H21