@0x199dF4…8413

#30,63068

0x199df422f3460e56931a6af1643a0bb97a9a6e7b

~48d· 51 markets · 1138 tradesVol: $440,8622026-08-03 16:56:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (32/44)20/20
1.36x (win $24,631 / loss $18,105)7/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.22015/15
Sortino 3.10410/10
$+0.0197 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 1144 (44 markets)6.8/10
16/26 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 98% of peak ($6,381 / $6,526)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+1,949
DCA Master
Avg 21.2 entries/market
Whale
$331,471 invested
Consistent
16/26 profitable days
High Roller
$1,454/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,635,835$-7,226Vol: $294,565
📈 ECONOMICS#586$10,955Vol: $134,587
SPORTS#82,785$228Vol: $11,710

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,957
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$440,862
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
250B / 888S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$3,097
Vol: $0
Week
$3,097
Vol: $0
Month
$-8,880
Vol: $65,983
All Time
$3,957
Vol: $440,862

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
32W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$1,949
Win Rate
73%
32W / 12L
Profit Factor
1.36x
Avg Win
$770
Avg Loss
$-1,509

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,563 (5.420749575329601% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$3,825
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$3,509
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3,229
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2,621
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2,078
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$1,450
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$1,441
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?$1,001
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$980
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$926

Top Losers

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$-6,368
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$-2,921
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$-2,633
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?$-1,828
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)$-1,000
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$-888
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor$-789
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$-789
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?$-473
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-400

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.114
Sortino
0.130
HHI
586
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.027
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.4%
Top-5 markets
47.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 136s — normal for humanCV 2.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.25
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.4%
Mid (20-55c)13.6%
High (>55c)78%

Sessions

#12
8/1/2026, 6:01:45 AM104 trades$84,1427 min
6/30/2026, 3:18:59 AM25 trades$53,4851 min
5/28/2026, 4:53:11 AM65 trades$32,96316 min
7/11/2026, 5:57:14 AM26 trades$32,3852 min
7/15/2026, 12:21:08 AM13 trades$25,5972 min
7/8/2026, 9:04:37 PM24 trades$24,0011 min
7/25/2026, 4:07:54 AM28 trades$23,6410 min
7/15/2026, 12:11:49 AM21 trades$21,8021 min
6/4/2026, 9:08:40 PM11 trades$20,1793 min
7/8/2026, 9:14:11 PM8 trades$16,8125 min
7/16/2026, 7:11:41 PM22 trades$15,7980 min
4/24/2026, 6:39:30 PM50 trades$15,7285 min
6/1/2026, 4:20:40 AM17 trades$14,9931 min
5/2/2026, 6:26:10 PM10 trades$10,5411 min
6/1/2026, 4:10:31 AM13 trades$9,2221 min
4/30/2026, 4:03:36 PM27 trades$8,6262 min
4/10/2026, 5:04:27 PM77 trades$6,1022 min
4/25/2026, 3:42:32 PM36 trades$5,3152 min
4/21/2026, 6:58:08 PM14 trades$5,2690 min
5/17/2026, 3:11:35 AM35 trades$5,0545 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-17
04-17
05-02
05-17
06-07
06-30
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
78% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.4 / M13.6 / H78