@chaoticclimb
#2,984,478170x19dd555ad27b3969b8d669339a4dbaa16b228f24
~26d· 65 markets · 264 tradesVol: $174,1182026-09-20 11:12:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
39% (24/61)4.7/20
0.74x (win $2,838 / loss $3,842)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6750/15
Sortino -3.1480/10
$-0.1454 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 458 (61 markets)10/10
9/23 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 199% of peak ($2,146 / $1,078)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
70% entries < $0.20
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,610,088$-412Vol: $128,885
💰 FINANCE#13,394$184Vol: $15,125
₿ CRYPTO#1,641,240$-542Vol: $5,034
🎭 CULTURE#804,174$-164Vol: $1,834
📢 MENTIONS#7,401$74Vol: $1,025
🌤️ WEATHER#7,328$104Vol: $617
⚽ SPORTS#271,421$12Vol: $549
📈 ECONOMICS#659,831$-50Vol: $119
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-890
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$174,118
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
197B / 67S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d
Periods
#2Week
$36
Vol: $0
Month
$36
Vol: $0
All Time
$-890
Vol: $174,118
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
39%
24W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$-713
Win Rate
39%
24W / 37L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$118
Avg Loss
$-104
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,041 (1.4594287637235517% of PnL)
Top Winners
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$376
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$376
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$288
Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?$262
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$247
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?$156
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?$133
US bank failure by March 31?$129
Will the US strike Iran next?$116
Will the US strike Iran next?$106
Top Losers
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-841
Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$-472
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?$-250
Iran coup attempt by June 30?$-162
US bank failure by January 31?$-129
Will the US strike Iran next?$-120
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?$-117
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?$-100
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?$-100
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?$-100
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.137
Sortino
-0.159
HHI
381
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.148
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.9%
Top-5 markets
33.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 98s — normal for humanCV 1.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.51
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)69.5%
Mid (20-55c)19.3%
High (>55c)11.2%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 8:49:55 AM39 trades$1,2521 min
8/8/2026, 3:40:24 PM3 trades$1,0000 min
1/15/2026, 2:16:48 PM2 trades$5751 min
1/21/2026, 6:30:58 PM8 trades$49913 min
1/14/2026, 7:44:46 AM2 trades$4001 min
1/3/2026, 7:04:39 AM2 trades$3565 min
1/3/2026, 2:02:47 PM3 trades$3505 min
1/27/2026, 4:36:11 AM1 trades$3320 min
1/9/2026, 9:54:16 AM2 trades$2961 min
1/3/2026, 7:31:13 AM3 trades$2952 min
1/9/2026, 5:06:12 PM1 trades$2590 min
1/3/2026, 7:40:07 AM3 trades$2503 min
1/14/2026, 1:36:26 PM2 trades$2502 min
1/10/2026, 7:46:24 PM4 trades$2402 min
1/7/2026, 2:01:09 AM1 trades$2330 min
1/6/2026, 5:28:31 PM2 trades$2124 min
12/24/2025, 2:53:05 AM1 trades$2000 min
1/8/2026, 12:46:51 PM1 trades$2000 min
1/10/2026, 4:38:30 AM2 trades$2000 min
1/14/2026, 2:01:20 AM2 trades$2000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-24
01-05
01-09
01-12
01-15
01-22
02-01
06-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 159 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.51/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L69.5 / M19.3 / H11.2