@betmandown
#3,001,01930x1a3d83418c5fa02a0478e4f769649fda5e12fea1
~149d· 76 markets · 2854 tradesVol: $161,4122026-08-26 09:58:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
27% (17/63)0/20
0.22x (win $786 / loss $3,498)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.4290/15
Sortino -5.3810/10
$-0.4118 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1890 (63 markets)3.1/10
12/38 profitable days (32%)0.4/10
Max DD 998% of peak ($3,015 / $302)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
85% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6💻 TECH#261,360$-367Vol: $74,901
💰 FINANCE#658,822$-763Vol: $58,460
🎭 CULTURE#810,539$-361Vol: $21,924
⚽ SPORTS#110,201$124Vol: $4,340
🏛️ POLITICS#1,506,146$-74Vol: $1,719
₿ CRYPTO#378,008$2Vol: $67
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,440
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$161,412
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
1819B / 1035S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~149d
Periods
#2Today
$-15
Vol: $0
Week
$-209
Vol: $0
Month
$-206
Vol: $12,723
All Time
$-1,440
Vol: $161,412
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
27%
17W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$-915
Win Rate
27%
17W / 46L
Profit Factor
0.22x
Avg Win
$46
Avg Loss
$-81
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $580 (0.6333209493421916% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?$369
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$149
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$61
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$55
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$35
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$33
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$16
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$11
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$10
Top Losers
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-1,310
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-720
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$-199
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$-146
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$-126
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-117
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-110
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$-91
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-78
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-70
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.280
Sortino
-0.251
HHI
2251
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.310
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.3%
Top-5 markets
87.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
16.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 238s — normal for humanCV 3.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active0.4 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
59
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)84.8%
Mid (20-55c)5.6%
High (>55c)9.6%
Sessions
#124/3/2026, 1:46:21 PM9 trades$4270 min
7/17/2026, 6:13:04 AM5 trades$4000 min
6/15/2026, 8:35:42 AM10 trades$3970 min
5/12/2026, 8:29:43 PM11 trades$3835 min
4/5/2026, 8:15:27 PM8 trades$3721 min
5/2/2026, 5:31:18 AM6 trades$3392 min
4/30/2026, 5:48:20 AM13 trades$3111 min
5/3/2026, 5:41:30 AM14 trades$2901 min
5/21/2026, 7:34:21 PM18 trades$2901 min
7/9/2026, 4:26:50 AM7 trades$2880 min
5/26/2026, 12:19:18 PM15 trades$2581 min
6/9/2026, 12:51:51 PM32 trades$2345 min
6/26/2026, 9:34:02 PM9 trades$2290 min
7/8/2026, 9:35:49 PM5 trades$2270 min
7/10/2026, 7:52:31 PM8 trades$2230 min
7/2/2026, 1:53:55 PM23 trades$2145 min
4/23/2026, 4:36:24 AM7 trades$2101 min
6/26/2026, 10:49:43 PM9 trades$2090 min
7/9/2026, 5:06:40 AM3 trades$2050 min
6/26/2026, 4:05:50 PM11 trades$2040 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-19
03-15
04-22
05-06
05-16
06-16
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 69 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 59/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L84.8 / M5.6 / H9.6