@rgsnow.21

#2,951,51811

0x1a86c337d3e7da2b32031cf51190263c317d4683

~29d· 47 markets · 147 tradesVol: $95,0722026-09-20 15:44:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (11/34)1.2/20
0.62x (win $1,046 / loss $1,686)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.6300/15
Sortino -5.1290/10
$-0.1930 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 663 (34 markets)9.2/10
6/19 profitable days (32%)0.4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($640 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,627,524$-715Vol: $65,755
💰 FINANCE#660,542$-475Vol: $19,169
₿ CRYPTO#42,534$545Vol: $10,148

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-645
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$95,072
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
71B / 76S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $0
Week
$-244
Vol: $0
Month
$100
Vol: $7,627
All Time
$-645
Vol: $95,072

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
11W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-689
Win Rate
32%
11W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$95
Avg Loss
$-77

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $894 (1.2979486360534835% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?$404
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$353
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?$136
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?$73
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$44
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?$15
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico by November 30?$8
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada by November 30?$5
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$2

Top Losers

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?$-398
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?$-308
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$-190
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?$-168
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$-147
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-118
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?$-100
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$-100
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$-29
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?$-29

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.236
Sortino
-0.253
HHI
588
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.211
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.1%
Top-5 markets
45.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 251s — normal for humanCV 1.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.65
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)62%
Mid (20-55c)26.8%
High (>55c)11.3%

Sessions

#12
8/10/2026, 1:06:49 AM29 trades$1,3258 min
1/29/2026, 5:09:44 PM2 trades$6532 min
8/13/2026, 1:01:39 PM15 trades$5937 min
1/31/2026, 6:03:00 PM1 trades$4240 min
1/29/2026, 11:34:58 AM2 trades$3464 min
2/2/2026, 8:57:30 PM1 trades$3000 min
1/23/2026, 7:33:50 AM1 trades$2140 min
1/31/2026, 6:09:34 PM2 trades$2003 min
1/26/2026, 6:33:53 PM1 trades$1970 min
1/15/2026, 4:23:02 AM2 trades$1843 min
1/15/2026, 12:49:04 PM1 trades$1830 min
1/30/2026, 8:36:58 PM2 trades$1683 min
1/29/2026, 9:18:06 PM1 trades$1530 min
12/5/2025, 11:38:49 AM2 trades$1501 min
1/29/2026, 11:45:14 AM1 trades$1460 min
11/12/2025, 3:06:00 AM1 trades$1230 min
11/11/2025, 5:26:10 PM4 trades$1227 min
1/22/2026, 7:38:44 PM1 trades$1200 min
1/23/2026, 1:05:10 AM2 trades$1203 min
11/25/2025, 12:32:51 AM3 trades$1072 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-31
11-14
11-25
01-15
01-30
02-08
08-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.65/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L62 / M26.8 / H11.3