@mahmed-a…hmud

#3,032,31069

0x1ba75514fa9dcd48d5eea3a2ae7c1fb990353d88

~54d· 113 markets · 981 tradesVol: $220,5452026-10-04 10:02:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (75/110)19.1/20
1.19x (win $5,742 / loss $4,841)4.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.39415/15
Sortino 1.71110/10
$+0.0463 per $1 invested2.3/10
HHI 203 (110 markets)10/10
27/44 profitable days (61%)7.8/10
Max DD 134% of peak ($1,888 / $1,405)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+906
DCA Master
Avg 8.8 entries/market
Consistent
27/44 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#303,191$-1,123Vol: $220,539

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,123
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$220,545
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
113
total markets
Trades
396B / 585S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Today
$58
Vol: $1,223
Week
$213
Vol: $13,284
Month
$358
Vol: $46,193
All Time
$-1,123
Vol: $220,545

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
75W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$906
Win Rate
68%
75W / 35L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$77
Avg Loss
$-167

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $963 (1.0631463923442863% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 18?$402
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 28?$310
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?$251
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 19?$239
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 19?$219
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on July 25?$194
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 16?$171
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 20?$170
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 20?$162
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16?$155

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?$-1,140
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 20?$-513
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 20?$-485
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?$-348
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 15?$-244
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on June 14?$-233
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13?$-218
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 13?$-199
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 9?$-190
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?$-167

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.072
Sortino
0.064
HHI
204
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.047
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
19.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
22.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1352s — normal for humanCV 1.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.5 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.78
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.4%
Mid (20-55c)3%
High (>55c)84.6%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 3:01:07 AM2 trades$1,0210 min
6/11/2026, 7:42:22 PM5 trades$9721 min
6/19/2026, 1:03:23 PM9 trades$9330 min
6/20/2026, 3:01:05 AM17 trades$8660 min
7/11/2026, 8:02:11 AM7 trades$8250 min
7/24/2026, 10:01:30 PM6 trades$7710 min
6/19/2026, 1:02:26 AM11 trades$7160 min
7/11/2026, 10:02:04 AM3 trades$7140 min
6/17/2026, 8:01:40 PM11 trades$6330 min
7/8/2026, 8:01:56 AM2 trades$5730 min
7/17/2026, 8:01:22 AM2 trades$5610 min
7/13/2026, 7:02:55 PM5 trades$5540 min
7/13/2026, 3:01:38 PM4 trades$5540 min
8/3/2026, 4:01:24 AM2 trades$5410 min
7/25/2026, 7:03:24 AM2 trades$5390 min
6/19/2026, 9:01:25 PM28 trades$5141 min
6/27/2026, 7:04:29 PM6 trades$5110 min
7/9/2026, 2:02:53 PM2 trades$5000 min
7/7/2026, 7:03:29 PM2 trades$4840 min
7/19/2026, 1:03:22 PM11 trades$4770 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-28
06-08
06-17
06-26
07-08
07-21
08-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.4 / M3 / H84.6