@BigTJoe

#2,601,36435

0x1bb7aa33438069cd107a5e0484f8ec40a398033c

~14d· 17 markets · 83 tradesVol: $11,0282026-10-08 02:50:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (10/16)16.2/20
0.87x (win $34 / loss $39)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7990/15
Sortino -0.9450/10
$-0.0111 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 813 (16 markets)8.4/10
6/9 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($39 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Consistent
6/9 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#288,588$-99Vol: $11,028

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-99
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,028
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
50B / 33S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Week
$-11
Vol: $15
Month
$32
Vol: $2,394
All Time
$-99
Vol: $11,028

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
4W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-78
Win Rate
44%
4W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25 (0.32529351710056154% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 31?$13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 31?$7
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 21?$6
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 21?$2
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 22?$2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 24?$1
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on September 3?$1
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 4?$1
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 24?$1
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 24?$0

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 26?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 26?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 30?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 26?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 26?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.039
Sortino
-0.029
HHI
686
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.3%
Top-5 markets
47.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
28.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1719s — normal for humanCV 0.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.75
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18%
Mid (20-55c)2%
High (>55c)80%

Sessions

#12
9/24/2026, 5:30:08 PM6 trades$800 min
9/22/2026, 1:54:20 AM2 trades$660 min
8/25/2026, 5:29:30 PM6 trades$611 min
9/27/2026, 1:26:20 AM2 trades$500 min
9/22/2026, 3:00:30 PM2 trades$440 min
8/31/2026, 5:40:07 AM2 trades$400 min
9/26/2026, 3:36:23 PM2 trades$400 min
9/21/2026, 10:46:13 PM2 trades$360 min
8/29/2026, 7:03:43 PM4 trades$310 min
9/21/2026, 9:22:12 PM2 trades$280 min
9/26/2026, 4:02:59 PM5 trades$259 min
9/24/2026, 6:43:45 AM1 trades$240 min
9/5/2026, 2:01:43 AM2 trades$220 min
8/26/2026, 12:57:48 AM3 trades$212 min
8/31/2026, 1:13:27 AM2 trades$200 min
9/3/2026, 9:11:54 PM3 trades$180 min
9/3/2026, 3:47:27 PM1 trades$170 min
9/24/2026, 11:26:24 AM1 trades$150 min
8/30/2026, 10:50:06 PM2 trades$140 min
8/31/2026, 12:02:49 AM1 trades$110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-08-26 12:00:00
2026-08-30 12:00:00
2026-08-31 12:00:00
2026-09-03 12:00:00
2026-09-04 12:00:00
2026-09-21 12:00:00
2026-09-22 12:00:00
2026-09-24 12:00:00
2026-09-26 12:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18 / M2 / H80