Wickier

@Wickier

#13194

0x1cc16713196d456f86fa9c7387dd326a7f73b8df

~400d· 947 markets · 17123 tradesVol: $23,372,5642026-08-04 15:06:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (575/942)15.5/20
2.96x (win $2,315,710 / loss $782,254)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.81815/15
Sortino 9.16310/10
$+0.2702 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 190 (942 markets)10/10
174/281 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($201,238 / $1,541,847)10/10

Badges

11
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+1,280,085
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 18.0 entries/market
Whale
$5,674,462 invested
Consistent
174/281 profitable days
High Roller
$7,658/day
Cool Head
Max DD 13%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#34$1,032,825Vol: $15,428,187
📈 ECONOMICS#82$81,371Vol: $2,956,638
🎭 CULTURE#340$23,212Vol: $1,372,641
CRYPTO#7,009$6,964Vol: $968,465
📢 MENTIONS#5$128,714Vol: $918,729
SPORTS#1,704$37,992Vol: $908,378
💰 FINANCE#828$6,660Vol: $367,800
💻 TECH#259,126$-21,576Vol: $357,791
🌤️ WEATHER#298,298$-1,530Vol: $19,705

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,292,303
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,372,564
Total Redeem
$428,971
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
947
total markets
Trades
11725B / 5398S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~400d

Periods

#2
Today
$13,552
Vol: $137,039
Week
$15,809
Vol: $328,677
Month
$14,229
Vol: $328,722
All Time
$1,292,303
Vol: $23,372,564

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
575W / 367L events
Realized PnL
$1,280,085
Win Rate
61%
575W / 367L
Profit Factor
2.96x
Avg Win
$4,027
Avg Loss
$-2,161

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,302,158 (1.017243101717195% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$727,962
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$296,412
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$277,783
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$94,914
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$52,223
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$50,510
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$46,957
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$32,400
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$31,279
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$29,527

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-160,469
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?$-45,695
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-40,156
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$-39,970
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$-34,600
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-32,241
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-25,840
Will TikTok be banned again before May?$-23,707
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$-22,948
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$-22,380

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.095
Sortino
0.313
HHI
170
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.276
Kelly %
15.2%
Half-Kelly
7.6%
Top-1 market
5.3%
Top-5 markets
21.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.9m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 6.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency1.3 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.99
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.2%
Mid (20-55c)29.7%
High (>55c)32.1%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 1:46:37 PM5 trades$199,6001 min
4/29/2025, 4:50:48 AM13 trades$154,6968 min
2/1/2026, 11:20:12 PM16 trades$149,55010 min
4/7/2026, 11:05:21 PM29 trades$141,2504 min
5/22/2026, 8:26:33 AM6 trades$133,8231 min
6/15/2026, 6:55:18 AM20 trades$127,7240 min
5/6/2026, 8:54:30 AM36 trades$121,9550 min
4/5/2026, 1:56:31 PM62 trades$115,3911 min
4/8/2026, 1:53:23 PM1 trades$99,8000 min
1/27/2026, 11:03:29 AM13 trades$99,0005 min
1/21/2026, 5:25:38 PM54 trades$98,30038 min
3/30/2026, 1:31:41 PM1 trades$94,0000 min
6/11/2026, 8:22:00 AM8 trades$86,4800 min
5/21/2026, 10:26:00 AM27 trades$75,4360 min
7/21/2026, 4:20:45 PM3 trades$69,7160 min
6/14/2026, 11:04:40 PM124 trades$67,1689 min
1/22/2026, 5:14:52 PM1 trades$65,0960 min
4/21/2026, 4:14:06 PM19 trades$63,56916 min
7/26/2026, 4:50:55 PM6 trades$62,3200 min
6/15/2026, 12:53:07 PM21 trades$61,9780 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-22
09-17
11-02
01-02
03-07
02-01
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.99/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38.2 / M29.7 / H32.1