@.ethguy
#4,891530x1e55408f217f58facdf1d663c74cfa7f55e9e3e2
~244d· 402 markets · 5555 tradesVol: $2,743,8942026-08-02 04:12:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
58% (224/384)14.2/20
1.14x (win $192,101 / loss $168,713)4.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4768.9/15
Sortino 0.7067.1/10
$+0.0201 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 162 (384 markets)10/10
101/171 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 128% of peak ($55,116 / $43,096)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+34,832
DCA Master
Avg 13.6 entries/market
Whale
$1,161,434 invested
High Roller
$3,519/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,019$49,058Vol: $1,939,448
⚽ SPORTS#1,873,837$-7,466Vol: $229,292
₿ CRYPTO#1,670,798$-12,760Vol: $181,141
📈 ECONOMICS#2,576$1,314Vol: $125,031
🎭 CULTURE#18,445$122Vol: $78,453
📢 MENTIONS#412$4,136Vol: $76,597
💰 FINANCE#3,809$1,129Vol: $41,561
💻 TECH#4,799$147Vol: $40,256
🌤️ WEATHER#296,675$-920Vol: $28,484
Overview
#1Net PnL
$34,832
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,743,894
Total Redeem
$49,063
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
402
total markets
Trades
2815B / 2740S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~244d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$2,880
Vol: $0
Month
$450
Vol: $4,541
All Time
$34,832
Vol: $2,743,894
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
58%
224W / 160L events
Realized PnL
$34,832
Win Rate
58%
224W / 160L
Profit Factor
1.14x
Avg Win
$858
Avg Loss
$-1,096
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $83,470 (2.396370638280525% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$40,535
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$30,549
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$12,387
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$11,436
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$4,920
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$4,426
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$4,052
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$3,807
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?$2,994
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$2,970
Top Losers
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-41,299
BitBoy convicted?$-15,249
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-10,200
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-10,175
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-8,709
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-8,423
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-6,349
Fight to Go the Distance?$-4,929
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-4,753
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$-4,448
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.025
Sortino
0.025
HHI
127
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
14.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
16.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.4
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 164s — normal for humanCV 2.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.6
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.1%
Mid (20-55c)21.8%
High (>55c)65.1%
Sessions
#125/7/2026, 6:42:08 PM9 trades$29,7058 min
6/15/2026, 4:27:07 PM9 trades$28,2061 min
5/5/2026, 3:20:24 PM3 trades$28,1321 min
5/5/2026, 12:50:02 PM3 trades$28,0660 min
4/30/2026, 8:00:52 PM7 trades$21,5637 min
5/22/2026, 11:28:40 PM3 trades$20,6940 min
4/16/2026, 4:00:40 PM4 trades$20,0001 min
5/20/2026, 2:45:39 PM6 trades$19,9810 min
3/9/2026, 9:10:45 PM9 trades$15,58314 min
4/7/2026, 11:06:07 PM11 trades$15,10110 min
4/12/2026, 2:00:15 PM10 trades$14,8947 min
5/4/2026, 5:17:08 PM21 trades$14,4844 min
4/21/2026, 4:16:02 PM4 trades$14,4000 min
3/8/2026, 9:08:07 PM7 trades$14,1452 min
2/28/2026, 7:02:41 AM1 trades$13,5170 min
4/21/2026, 3:23:58 PM8 trades$13,4011 min
3/8/2026, 9:22:35 PM42 trades$12,9768 min
4/21/2026, 1:11:28 PM2 trades$12,9060 min
6/14/2026, 9:42:07 PM5 trades$12,8771 min
2/25/2026, 3:51:38 AM6 trades$12,64810 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-06
11-24
01-29
03-23
05-06
06-14
07-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 40 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.1 / M21.8 / H65.1