AlmostRich

@AlmostRich

#11,52323

0x1e9c662ec0c08dbc2264a18f164a052111e42ec7

~94d· 252 markets · 4208 tradesVol: $955,1662026-08-05 17:24:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (106/252)6/20
0.86x (win $23,280 / loss $27,081)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8240/15
Sortino -1.0110/10
$-0.0166 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 298 (252 markets)10/10
48/88 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 295% of peak ($15,655 / $5,308)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+13,059
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Whale
$228,483 invested
High Roller
$1,321/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

3
🎭 CULTURE#660$12,915Vol: $906,181
📈 ECONOMICS#653,621$-67Vol: $30,970
CRYPTO#63,362$212Vol: $18,015

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$13,059
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$955,166
Total Redeem
$63
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
252
total markets
Trades
1489B / 2719S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~94d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $226
Week
$37
Vol: $2,554
Month
$17
Vol: $6,234
All Time
$13,059
Vol: $955,166

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
106W / 146L events
Realized PnL
$13,059
Win Rate
42%
106W / 146L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$220
Avg Loss
$-189

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,765 (0.5180448980310689% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2,693
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$2,482
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1,590
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1,489
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$1,337
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1,122
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$965
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$910
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$865
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$690

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$-4,154
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$-3,341
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-3,062
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$-2,512
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$-1,594
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$-1,311
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$-1,254
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$-1,243
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?$-1,167
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-996

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.043
Sortino
-0.041
HHI
298
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
30.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.9m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 4.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity24 trades/day — high frequency1.5 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.83
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.3%
Mid (20-55c)26.2%
High (>55c)44.5%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 6:53:13 AM65 trades$20,12810 min
6/26/2026, 2:09:33 PM35 trades$19,6141 min
5/15/2026, 2:20:25 PM10 trades$19,2236 min
4/27/2026, 3:15:16 PM15 trades$17,9281 min
6/15/2026, 3:59:37 PM2 trades$16,3820 min
4/30/2026, 3:20:50 PM12 trades$16,1636 min
4/29/2026, 10:47:32 AM2 trades$15,0000 min
4/24/2026, 3:43:24 PM38 trades$14,5984 min
6/15/2026, 3:42:48 PM21 trades$11,2232 min
4/29/2026, 3:18:44 PM8 trades$11,0005 min
7/7/2026, 3:48:50 PM27 trades$10,4884 min
4/3/2026, 9:25:29 AM51 trades$8,34411 min
5/13/2026, 5:48:50 AM2 trades$7,6100 min
3/31/2026, 8:16:45 AM16 trades$6,99616 min
3/24/2026, 11:44:27 AM10 trades$5,96310 min
4/3/2026, 12:47:03 PM58 trades$5,91311 min
4/1/2026, 3:35:35 PM8 trades$5,6842 min
4/10/2026, 2:31:11 PM14 trades$4,7475 min
3/11/2026, 2:38:45 PM8 trades$4,5669 min
3/20/2026, 10:40:17 AM3 trades$4,1874 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-09
02-27
03-18
04-07
05-08
06-11
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.3 / M26.2 / H44.5