@Fredi9999

#384

0x1f2dd6d473f3e824cd2f8a89d9c69fb96f6ad0cf

~64d· 45 markets · 23519 tradesVol: $76,615,7012026-08-02 01:29:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (30/45)18.3/20
43.35x (win $16,968,434 / loss $391,473)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.07215/15
Sortino 261.79710/10
$+0.5589 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2963 (45 markets)0/10
10/19 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 2% of peak ($345,251 / $16,576,961)10/10

Badges

11
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+16,619,507
Contrarian
84% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
1% sells
DCA Master
Avg 522.6 entries/market
Whale
$29,658,928 invested
High Roller
$357,336/day
Cool Head
Max DD 2%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#2$16,660,339Vol: $76,280,682
🎭 CULTURE#818,346$-41,168Vol: $334,234
₿ CRYPTO#51,274$336Vol: $785

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16,619,507
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$76,615,701
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
23203B / 316S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~64d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
30W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$16,619,507
Win Rate
67%
30W / 15L
Profit Factor
43.35x
Avg Win
$565,614
Avg Loss
$-26,098

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,206,024 (0.8547801397639924% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$9,679,026
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$3,736,029
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $790,968
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$714,524
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$595,970
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$489,581
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$361,944
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$309,795
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$95,671
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$77,989

Top Losers

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?$-294,708
Iran military response by Friday?$-41,042
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?$-22,558
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-14,460
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-8,837
Who will win the debate according to polls?$-2,600
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-1,929
Iran military response by Monday?$-1,514
Will Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-1,479
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4$-718

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.258
Sortino
9.916
HHI
3063
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.559
Kelly %
64.3%
Half-Kelly
32.2%
Top-1 market
52.5%
Top-5 markets
81.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
283.4
Very active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
10.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
38 min
Avg Trades / Session
146.5

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 10.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock283 trades/day — automation0.5 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
522.64
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10%
Mid (20-55c)74.2%
High (>55c)15.8%

Sessions

#12
10/8/2024, 3:18:37 PM8 trades$2,683,47110 min
10/10/2024, 10:40:31 AM98 trades$836,02149 min
10/7/2024, 3:08:09 AM13 trades$755,34216 min
10/10/2024, 9:35:39 AM64 trades$716,04138 min
8/7/2024, 4:55:10 AM7 trades$649,4148 min
10/4/2024, 1:11:18 PM86 trades$637,54236 min
10/17/2024, 1:40:48 PM74 trades$599,82220 min
9/25/2024, 12:00:35 PM176 trades$580,540109 min
10/16/2024, 9:53:10 AM208 trades$566,32345 min
10/5/2024, 8:25:41 AM5 trades$487,4967 min
10/9/2024, 1:02:59 AM115 trades$470,68017 min
10/5/2024, 8:57:01 AM718 trades$426,74834 min
10/16/2024, 4:58:06 AM529 trades$392,107137 min
10/8/2024, 11:37:11 PM316 trades$381,43431 min
9/25/2024, 6:01:43 AM667 trades$359,058144 min
10/10/2024, 4:50:31 PM115 trades$354,79231 min
10/7/2024, 4:09:41 AM287 trades$354,74031 min
10/17/2024, 7:25:05 AM314 trades$342,74030 min
10/3/2024, 12:34:07 PM6 trades$340,8702 min
10/7/2024, 2:41:21 AM8 trades$339,0966 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-03
08-18
08-23
10-05
10-09
10-15
10-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 25 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 522.64/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L10 / M74.2 / H15.8