kodokon

@kodokon

#2,161,24737

0x200e8534cd2b826b24c0dd7c6977a8a9378d5f71

~112d· 211 markets · 293 tradesVol: $20,0782026-09-10 23:02:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (146/210)19.8/20
0.28x (win $9 / loss $32)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1530/15
Sortino -2.1480/10
$-0.0025 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 991 (210 markets)7.5/10
75/100 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 1295% of peak ($26 / $2)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Consistent
75/100 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#105,152$4Vol: $7,498
₿ CRYPTO#1,311,152$-23Vol: $7,032
🏛️ POLITICS#949,724$-1Vol: $3,123
📈 ECONOMICS#552,799$-3Vol: $2,328
💰 FINANCE#258,490$0Vol: $61
💻 TECH#52,347$1Vol: $37

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-23
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,078
Total Redeem
$19
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
211
total markets
Trades
229B / 64S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~112d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $6
Month
$1
Vol: $12
All Time
$-23
Vol: $20,078

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
146W / 64L events
Realized PnL
$-23
Win Rate
70%
146W / 64L
Profit Factor
0.28x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.10487055726195699% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon tweet 650 or more times August 15–August 22?$1
Election certified on January 6?$1
Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28?$1
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 16–23?$0
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?$0
Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?$0
Will Biden finish his term?$0
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 23–30?$0
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 13–20?$0
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 9–16?$0

Top Losers

Ethereum above $4700 on August 22?$-20
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$-2
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$-2
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$-2
Will Christian Lindner be the next Chancellor of Germany?$-1
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?$-1
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$-1
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$-1
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$-1
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.112
Sortino
-0.043
HHI
783
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
27.1%
Half-Kelly
13.6%
Top-1 market
16.3%
Top-5 markets
59.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 96s — normal for humanCV 2.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.44
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)97.8%

Sessions

#12
11/16/2025, 7:27:20 AM3 trades$1,0061 min
11/15/2025, 7:47:28 PM3 trades$5071 min
11/19/2025, 7:23:35 AM2 trades$5061 min
11/18/2025, 6:55:35 AM2 trades$5061 min
11/20/2025, 1:05:05 PM2 trades$5050 min
11/15/2025, 8:19:38 AM1 trades$5050 min
11/20/2025, 7:38:55 AM1 trades$5050 min
11/12/2025, 7:21:08 PM2 trades$5051 min
11/20/2025, 8:08:59 AM1 trades$5040 min
11/13/2025, 7:02:30 AM1 trades$5040 min
11/12/2025, 7:22:44 AM1 trades$5040 min
11/19/2025, 7:03:33 AM1 trades$5030 min
11/15/2025, 8:00:38 PM1 trades$5030 min
11/14/2025, 8:14:14 AM1 trades$5030 min
11/11/2025, 7:35:56 PM2 trades$5031 min
11/14/2025, 8:29:44 AM2 trades$5034 min
11/17/2025, 5:46:17 PM1 trades$5030 min
11/14/2025, 7:53:52 PM2 trades$5031 min
11/17/2025, 7:43:11 PM1 trades$5020 min
11/17/2025, 7:02:01 AM1 trades$5020 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-29
03-15
05-29
08-19
11-12
01-28
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 93 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.2 / M0 / H97.8