@0x2015…7c47

2

0x2015adde06e59a494362275ca2935c8a2ecc7c47

~47d· 107 markets · 642 trades2026-08-26 09:12:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (30/88)2/20
0.70x (win $133 / loss $191)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0870/15
Sortino -5.3470/10
$-0.0750 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2463 (88 markets)0.2/10
11/36 profitable days (31%)0.1/10
Max DD 615% of peak ($78 / $13)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
67% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-70
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$770
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
107
total markets
Trades
331B / 311S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
30W / 58L events
Realized PnL
$-70
Win Rate
34%
30W / 58L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $57 (0.8087105038428694% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?$23
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 19?$17
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 28?$17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 22?$11
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28?$9
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16?$8
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?$7
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?$6
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 15?$4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$3

Top Losers

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 9?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 29?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 7?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 21?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 28?$-8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 14?$-7
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?$-6
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 11?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.211
Sortino
-0.367
HHI
40
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.176
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
10.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — normal for humanCV 1.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.01
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.1%
Mid (20-55c)45.3%
High (>55c)32.6%

Sessions

#12
6/2/2026, 6:43:05 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/31/2026, 5:04:41 PM10 trades$2600 min
6/12/2026, 1:34:10 PM30 trades$2120 min
5/20/2026, 12:44:36 PM7 trades$1020 min
6/1/2026, 2:11:18 PM16 trades$742 min
5/21/2026, 8:13:54 AM16 trades$722 min
6/3/2026, 2:17:36 AM2 trades$600 min
5/19/2026, 10:21:44 PM8 trades$572 min
5/20/2026, 1:18:28 PM5 trades$520 min
5/20/2026, 1:24:57 PM4 trades$520 min
6/2/2026, 10:36:57 PM7 trades$421 min
6/9/2026, 5:13:49 PM17 trades$382 min
5/20/2026, 12:56:20 PM8 trades$381 min
6/1/2026, 12:26:32 PM11 trades$320 min
6/18/2026, 6:10:31 AM12 trades$320 min
6/27/2026, 10:39:58 AM8 trades$320 min
6/19/2026, 6:02:01 AM11 trades$310 min
7/5/2026, 11:00:28 PM6 trades$290 min
7/27/2026, 1:00:19 AM3 trades$230 min
6/2/2026, 10:11:29 PM10 trades$224 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-31
06-15
06-21
06-30
07-14
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
86% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.01/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22.1 / M45.3 / H32.6