@swisstony
#2730x204f72f35326db932158cba6adff0b9a1da95e14
~372d· 47171 markets · 6395515 tradesVol: $1,850,584,6732026-09-23 01:46:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
58% (83094/143221)14/20
1.15x (win $305,854,821 / loss $266,164,654)4.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.90715/15
Sortino 1.87210/10
$+2.9269 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 3 (143221 markets)10/10
243/500 profitable days (49%)4.6/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($8,709,963 / $20,273,496)5.4/10
Badges
8Profitable
PnL $+23,632,246
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
1% sells
DCA Master
Avg 85.0 entries/market
Whale
$13,560,360 invested
High Roller
$35,779/day
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1$18,419,286Vol: $1,850,584,186
Overview
#1Net PnL
$18,419,271
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,850,584,673
Total Redeem
$19,578,510
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47171
total markets
Trades
96028B / 32106S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~372d
Periods
#2Today
$-5
Vol: $0
Week
$58
Vol: $0
Month
$1,110,171
Vol: $9,017,139
All Time
$18,419,271
Vol: $1,850,584,673
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
58%
83095W / 60124L events
Realized PnL
$23,632,246
Win Rate
58%
83095W / 60124L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$3,681
Avg Loss
$-4,467
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,932,107 (0.37796268777729286% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$3,140,965
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$3,080,533
Spread: England (-1.5)$2,710,610
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$2,636,754
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)$2,249,539
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$2,053,647
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$2,015,470
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$1,666,764
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?$1,664,888
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$1,658,987
Top Losers
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$-3,200,399
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$-2,110,397
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$-1,740,872
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$-1,509,738
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$-1,483,666
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$-1,375,951
Spread: France (-2.5)$-1,187,440
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$-1,172,159
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 2.5$-1,080,682
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$-1,010,338
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.047
Sortino
0.077
HHI
21923
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
4.7%
Half-Kelly
2.4%
Top-1 market
20.5%
Top-5 markets
96.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
16874.7
Very active
Markets / Day
124.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.7m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
76 min
Avg Trades / Session
74.3
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 108s — normal for humanCV 5.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock16875 trades/day — automation124 markets/day — mass coverage1% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
85.01
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10.8%
Mid (20-55c)44.3%
High (>55c)44.9%
Sessions
#123/7/2026, 1:55:57 PM234 trades$52,495209 min
1/12/2026, 7:54:53 PM4 trades$49,7064 min
3/20/2026, 2:12:39 PM1 trades$44,5530 min
2/21/2026, 3:27:16 PM281 trades$43,986278 min
11/1/2025, 9:13:21 PM3 trades$39,2755 min
3/11/2026, 7:32:27 PM91 trades$33,21878 min
2/7/2026, 1:35:47 PM151 trades$31,584149 min
1/28/2026, 7:48:34 PM142 trades$31,401125 min
3/1/2026, 3:45:53 PM135 trades$31,067140 min
3/1/2026, 2:10:43 PM139 trades$28,92090 min
2/15/2026, 12:26:11 PM39 trades$28,78839 min
3/17/2026, 4:37:25 PM16 trades$25,96428 min
3/21/2026, 10:59:39 AM165 trades$25,767201 min
3/20/2026, 12:47:17 PM9 trades$25,48816 min
1/31/2026, 9:29:12 PM2 trades$23,2631 min
1/31/2026, 3:34:36 PM76 trades$20,97375 min
2/8/2026, 3:16:33 PM19 trades$20,50424 min
1/21/2026, 7:10:56 PM20 trades$20,23631 min
2/1/2026, 9:11:54 PM5 trades$19,0765 min
3/11/2026, 8:54:57 PM65 trades$18,57450 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-03-21 14:00:00
2026-04-07 09:30:00
2026-04-29 04:00:00
2026-05-12 19:00:00
2026-06-10 00:00:00
2026-06-25 23:00:00
2026-08-24 19:30:00
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 85.01/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.8 / M44.3 / H44.9