@0x16f

#3,112,06623

0x205b0d3b14f390a290cd917349808c66b136dd3c

~207d· 237 markets · 2518 tradesVol: $1,061,6642026-09-10 22:08:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (113/234)9.1/20
0.94x (win $104,534 / loss $111,501)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5000/15
Sortino -0.6890/10
$-0.0106 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1243 (234 markets)6.3/10
85/164 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 778% of peak ($26,038 / $3,349)0/10

Badges

7
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
3% sells
DCA Master
Avg 10.7 entries/market
Whale
$655,181 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,883,562$-2,441Vol: $640,728
🏛️ POLITICS#1,649,041$-4,763Vol: $420,936

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,204
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,061,664
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
237
total markets
Trades
2443B / 75S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~207d

Periods

#2
Today
$-132
Vol: $1,201
Week
$-119
Vol: $1,201
Month
$-158
Vol: $1,201
All Time
$-7,204
Vol: $1,061,664

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
113W / 121L events
Realized PnL
$-7,204
Win Rate
48%
113W / 121L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$925
Avg Loss
$-921

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,747 (1.9083147776932516% of PnL)

Top Winners

Rams vs. Seahawks$4,932
Seahawks vs. Commanders$4,415
Broncos vs. Texans$4,400
Chargers vs. Patriots$3,831
Seahawks vs. Patriots$3,520
49ers vs. Seahawks$3,419
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)$2,880
Jaguars vs. Raiders$2,600
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)$2,557
Texans vs. Seahawks$2,517

Top Losers

Patriots vs. Broncos$-4,925
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-4,616
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-4,361
49ers vs. Eagles$-3,897
Packers vs. Bears$-3,419
Spread: Packers (-6.5)$-3,120
Bills vs. Dolphins$-2,997
Colts vs. Steelers$-2,575
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)$-2,550
Falcons vs. Jets$-2,280

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.026
Sortino
-0.033
HHI
1293
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32.3%
Top-5 markets
52.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 318s — normal for humanCV 6.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.71
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.9%
Mid (20-55c)39.7%
High (>55c)43.3%

Sessions

#12
11/4/2024, 12:37:25 AM1 trades$58,0830 min
11/3/2024, 5:02:02 AM2 trades$27,1283 min
10/14/2024, 10:49:49 PM4 trades$19,7144 min
10/28/2024, 9:59:28 PM1 trades$19,1260 min
10/14/2024, 6:44:15 PM2 trades$18,6440 min
10/28/2024, 12:04:32 AM1 trades$18,4150 min
11/3/2024, 11:03:26 AM1 trades$11,2750 min
10/27/2024, 11:56:59 AM2 trades$11,0415 min
10/17/2024, 6:40:35 PM1 trades$10,6320 min
10/16/2024, 7:04:24 PM1 trades$10,3910 min
10/16/2024, 8:39:12 PM1 trades$9,9970 min
10/18/2024, 5:47:39 AM1 trades$9,8400 min
10/15/2024, 8:10:41 AM1 trades$9,7900 min
1/13/2026, 3:43:47 AM2 trades$9,7262 min
10/17/2024, 8:14:58 PM12 trades$9,65211 min
1/18/2026, 10:55:54 PM1 trades$9,4170 min
10/16/2024, 9:04:04 AM1 trades$8,8060 min
1/12/2026, 12:47:18 AM2 trades$7,1154 min
1/26/2026, 12:04:10 AM6 trades$6,5242 min
3/16/2025, 12:23:29 AM3 trades$6,3961 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-30
01-10
03-04
09-14
10-24
12-15
08-29
09-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 381 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.9 / M39.7 / H43.3