@0x215547…8165

#3,030,27316

0x215547eb9c277bfe94791381e5f1d5b9e4793428

~114d· 1061 markets · 5769 tradesVol: $159,7122026-08-26 10:02:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (394/1061)3.6/20
0.78x (win $3,347 / loss $4,301)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8400/15
Sortino -3.1550/10
$-0.0907 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 385 (1061 markets)10/10
46/114 profitable days (40%)2.6/10
Max DD 803% of peak ($1,366 / $170)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#303,412$-1,981Vol: $159,712

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,981
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$159,712
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1061
total markets
Trades
3935B / 1834S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~114d

Periods

#2
Month
$-253
Vol: $3,920
All Time
$-1,981
Vol: $159,712

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
394W / 667L events
Realized PnL
$-1,698
Win Rate
37%
394W / 667L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $360 (0.2121553013793835% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?$163
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 24?$129
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on April 2?$68
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 1?$61
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 7?$61
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 13?$58
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 1?$58
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12?$50
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 1?$42
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 24?$42

Top Losers

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 4?$-360
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 24?$-115
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 5?$-110
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on May 2?$-107
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 14?$-95
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 2?$-64
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 3?$-54
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 2?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 4?$-48
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 24?$-44

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.148
Sortino
-0.144
HHI
60
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.091
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
11%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.1
Active
Markets / Day
5.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
41.2m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 162s — normal for humanCV 2.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock28 trades/day — high frequency5.2 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.44
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.9%
Mid (20-55c)32.1%
High (>55c)29%

Sessions

#12
5/12/2026, 8:48:40 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
5/12/2026, 10:19:00 PM30 trades$5,0000 min
5/16/2026, 6:58:24 PM8 trades$2,0058 min
5/14/2026, 8:59:00 PM5 trades$1,0090 min
5/13/2026, 2:43:56 PM4 trades$1,0000 min
5/9/2026, 8:01:27 PM7 trades$6112 min
4/28/2026, 8:39:08 AM28 trades$5436 min
6/5/2026, 5:54:49 PM6 trades$5054 min
7/10/2026, 6:54:37 AM27 trades$4504 min
5/5/2026, 1:40:30 PM35 trades$38715 min
4/28/2026, 7:39:44 PM2 trades$3500 min
4/28/2026, 9:29:30 PM2 trades$3500 min
4/28/2026, 12:14:16 AM6 trades$3172 min
5/7/2026, 3:25:15 AM2 trades$2780 min
6/16/2026, 3:54:16 AM9 trades$2708 min
4/29/2026, 4:43:10 AM4 trades$2691 min
4/29/2026, 1:03:04 AM2 trades$2630 min
6/17/2026, 6:01:34 AM2 trades$2630 min
4/29/2026, 1:57:58 AM4 trades$2441 min
5/3/2026, 11:56:10 PM9 trades$2315 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
02-18
03-09
03-30
05-06
06-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.44/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38.9 / M32.1 / H29