@HotChili

#1,44120

0x216509be5332c6037105b4f871966eb97240f598

~498d· 1626 markets · 222967 tradesVol: $205,988,7512026-08-02 06:26:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (550/1482)3.6/20
0.94x (win $136,658 / loss $144,978)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1710/15
Sortino -0.2420/10
$-0.0314 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 197 (1482 markets)10/10
164/332 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 142% of peak ($35,433 / $24,981)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+137,781
Lottery Player
89% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
3% sells
Whale
$264,597 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
📈 ECONOMICS#407$17,566Vol: $77,972,698
🏛️ POLITICS#978$51,297Vol: $73,434,680
⚽ SPORTS#1,075$69,047Vol: $48,160,079
🎭 CULTURE#1,409$5,638Vol: $3,637,567
₿ CRYPTO#1,654,661$-2,717Vol: $893,183
💰 FINANCE#416,057$-0Vol: $797,266
🌤️ WEATHER#294,862$-502Vol: $212,390
💻 TECH#254,322$-376Vol: $131,530
📢 MENTIONS#171,092$-305Vol: $12,541

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$137,781
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$205,988,751
Total Redeem
$180
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1626
total markets
Trades
15030B / 7226S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~498d

Periods

#2
Today
$8
Vol: $39,492
Week
$64,821
Vol: $39,492
Month
$291
Vol: $237,885
All Time
$137,781
Vol: $205,988,751

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
1884W / 2935L events
Realized PnL
$137,781
Win Rate
39%
1884W / 2935L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$248
Avg Loss
$-157

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $42,334 (0.3072566617550166% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$17,195
Marlins vs. Braves$14,159
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$10,980
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 1.5$9,982
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?$8,616
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5$6,596
Rangers vs. Bruins$4,600
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?$4,271
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$3,752
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$3,461

Top Losers

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$-27,112
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-10,991
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$-10,191
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-8,082
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$-7,434
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$-4,730
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?$-4,184
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?$-3,899
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?$-3,151
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5$-3,085

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.009
Sortino
-0.009
HHI
224
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.034
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
24.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
310.5
Very active
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.2m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
16.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 394s — normal for humanCV 16.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock311 trades/day — automation2.3 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.61
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)88.9%
Mid (20-55c)5.8%
High (>55c)5.2%

Sessions

#12
7/12/2026, 12:55:19 AM1 trades$24,5000 min
2/27/2026, 10:03:13 PM3 trades$10,9923 min
5/6/2026, 7:57:03 PM35 trades$10,89713 min
6/22/2026, 3:24:46 PM25 trades$10,88135 min
7/14/2026, 7:10:14 AM1 trades$9,2500 min
6/12/2026, 2:00:25 PM1 trades$7,4300 min
6/10/2025, 7:48:25 PM1 trades$6,5100 min
7/19/2026, 8:28:04 AM1 trades$5,9510 min
1/10/2026, 2:44:34 PM2 trades$5,4052 min
6/13/2026, 8:17:15 PM5 trades$4,9933 min
8/10/2025, 12:20:23 AM1 trades$4,9750 min
6/19/2026, 5:36:56 PM24 trades$4,4880 min
6/7/2025, 5:56:12 PM1 trades$4,3000 min
5/29/2025, 11:36:59 AM7 trades$3,98510 min
5/10/2026, 6:54:08 PM13 trades$3,8999 min
6/25/2026, 6:40:38 AM4 trades$3,5993 min
6/11/2026, 10:50:51 AM6 trades$3,5240 min
7/6/2026, 5:07:49 PM1 trades$3,5000 min
10/15/2025, 5:58:27 AM24 trades$3,36724 min
1/14/2026, 4:11:52 PM4 trades$3,04612 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-15
05-05
08-05
10-20
01-09
03-22
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 135 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.61/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L88.9 / M5.8 / H5.2