@HotChili
#2,025180x216509be5332c6037105b4f871966eb97240f598
~531d· 1657 markets · 232420 tradesVol: $210,710,1742026-09-19 18:54:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
37% (555/1519)3.3/20
0.86x (win $141,959 / loss $164,870)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4800/15
Sortino -0.6390/10
$-0.0863 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 206 (1519 markets)10/10
143/300 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 204% of peak ($49,801 / $24,380)0/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+102,159
Lottery Player
88% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
3% sells
Whale
$265,591 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9📈 ECONOMICS#445$17,566Vol: $77,990,392
🏛️ POLITICS#1,011$51,344Vol: $73,437,964
⚽ SPORTS#1,940$34,382Vol: $52,488,447
🎭 CULTURE#1,474$5,638Vol: $3,637,567
₿ CRYPTO#1,702,595$-2,366Vol: $925,017
💰 FINANCE#421,679$-0Vol: $797,266
🌤️ WEATHER#309,811$-1,995Vol: $430,524
💻 TECH#267,775$-378Vol: $131,530
📢 MENTIONS#175,647$-305Vol: $12,541
Overview
#1Net PnL
$101,583
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$210,710,174
Total Redeem
$180
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1657
total markets
Trades
15935B / 7255S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~531d
Periods
#2Today
$-84
Vol: $68,939
Week
$-63
Vol: $224,898
Month
$-425
Vol: $852,994
All Time
$101,583
Vol: $210,710,174
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
39%
1901W / 3030L events
Realized PnL
$102,159
Win Rate
39%
1901W / 3030L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$256
Avg Loss
$-172
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $42,334 (0.4143949808475174% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$17,195
Marlins vs. Braves$14,159
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$10,980
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 1.5$9,982
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?$8,616
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 1.5$6,596
Rangers vs. Bruins$4,600
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?$4,271
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$3,752
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$3,461
Top Losers
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$-27,112
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-21,982
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$-10,191
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-8,082
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$-7,434
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-5,476
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$-4,730
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?$-4,184
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?$-3,899
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?$-3,763
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.025
Sortino
-0.025
HHI
282
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.085
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
28.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
308.7
Very active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
30.1m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
16.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 382s — normal for humanCV 16.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock309 trades/day — automation2.2 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.53
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)88.1%
Mid (20-55c)5.5%
High (>55c)6.3%
Sessions
#127/12/2026, 12:55:19 AM1 trades$24,5000 min
2/27/2026, 10:03:13 PM3 trades$10,9923 min
5/6/2026, 7:57:03 PM35 trades$10,89713 min
6/22/2026, 3:24:46 PM25 trades$10,88135 min
7/14/2026, 7:10:14 AM1 trades$9,2500 min
6/12/2026, 2:00:25 PM1 trades$7,4300 min
6/10/2025, 7:48:25 PM1 trades$6,5100 min
7/19/2026, 8:28:04 AM1 trades$5,9510 min
1/10/2026, 2:44:34 PM2 trades$5,4052 min
6/13/2026, 8:17:15 PM5 trades$4,9933 min
8/10/2025, 12:20:23 AM1 trades$4,9750 min
6/19/2026, 5:36:56 PM24 trades$4,4880 min
6/7/2025, 5:56:12 PM1 trades$4,3000 min
5/29/2025, 11:36:59 AM7 trades$3,98510 min
5/10/2026, 6:54:08 PM13 trades$3,8999 min
6/25/2026, 6:40:38 AM4 trades$3,5993 min
6/11/2026, 10:50:51 AM6 trades$3,5240 min
7/6/2026, 5:07:49 PM1 trades$3,5000 min
10/15/2025, 5:58:27 AM24 trades$3,36724 min
1/14/2026, 4:11:52 PM4 trades$3,04612 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-25
07-04
09-28
12-07
02-03
05-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 161 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.53/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L88.1 / M5.5 / H6.3