@0x21d3…8d3f

#2,987,09816

0x21d3608ce1c305352a5d3c808fd6255a10ea8d3f

~57d· 112 markets · 2886 tradesVol: $429,4152026-08-24 12:55:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (40/108)3.5/20
0.47x (win $18,212 / loss $38,528)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7800/15
Sortino -2.9780/10
$-0.2788 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 584 (108 markets)9.6/10
17/42 profitable days (40%)2.6/10
Max DD 4445% of peak ($20,783 / $468)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
Whale
$72,875 invested

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#11,756$273Vol: $242,278
🏛️ POLITICS#1,628,007$-1,246Vol: $165,863
CRYPTO#1,544,454$-176Vol: $9,321
💰 FINANCE#632,157$-75Vol: $5,185
📈 ECONOMICS#21,813$36Vol: $3,609
SPORTS#1,670,572$-86Vol: $3,159

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,275
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$429,415
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
112
total markets
Trades
705B / 2181S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$77
Vol: $2,313
Week
$77
Vol: $8,530
Month
$302
Vol: $153,648
All Time
$-1,275
Vol: $429,415

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
40W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$-1,588
Win Rate
37%
40W / 68L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$455
Avg Loss
$-584

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,057 (6.334681279919375% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$6,949
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$1,611
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1,497
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$1,298
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$901
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$692
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$633
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$496
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$403
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$385

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-12,413
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-7,539
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-3,004
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-2,759
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$-2,527
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$-2,355
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$-1,566
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?$-985
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-978
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-657

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.144
Sortino
-0.126
HHI
741
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.236
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.6%
Top-5 markets
46.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 452s — normal for humanCV 1.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity21 trades/day — high frequency0.8 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
31.03
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.8%
Mid (20-55c)37.2%
High (>55c)41%

Sessions

#12
4/16/2026, 1:48:30 PM12 trades$4,2310 min
4/27/2026, 2:29:14 PM45 trades$3,8981 min
4/27/2026, 10:09:22 AM23 trades$3,8102 min
4/13/2026, 2:48:21 PM2 trades$3,3000 min
4/13/2026, 3:06:59 PM2 trades$3,2700 min
4/13/2026, 5:36:13 PM2 trades$3,2500 min
6/20/2026, 7:50:49 AM6 trades$3,1540 min
6/20/2026, 6:22:20 AM33 trades$3,00912 min
5/14/2026, 6:16:06 PM24 trades$2,9060 min
4/21/2026, 6:59:02 AM4 trades$1,9320 min
5/15/2026, 4:59:35 AM41 trades$1,9223 min
7/27/2026, 10:34:46 AM2 trades$1,8150 min
6/11/2026, 2:53:09 PM2 trades$1,8130 min
5/9/2026, 5:30:28 PM60 trades$1,7253 min
6/11/2026, 5:43:06 PM14 trades$1,7110 min
4/7/2026, 11:04:37 AM84 trades$1,6860 min
7/27/2026, 4:29:49 PM8 trades$1,6260 min
4/9/2026, 9:26:31 AM14 trades$1,5951 min
4/25/2026, 3:44:40 PM4 trades$1,5720 min
4/25/2026, 3:58:02 PM2 trades$1,5640 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-05
04-13
04-27
05-11
06-17
08-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 60 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
75.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 31.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.8 / M37.2 / H41