@rjpoly

#8,42882

0x21fe77f7c7861c5f0a70a26ae86dfbaf1c5eda90

~556d· 711 markets · 4443 tradesVol: $1,256,0642026-08-02 07:44:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (421/657)17/20
1.90x (win $34,257 / loss $17,987)13.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.27515/15
Sortino 2.74310/10
$+0.0332 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 167 (657 markets)10/10
204/300 profitable days (68%)9.5/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($7,105 / $16,519)5.4/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 64%
Profitable
PnL $+18,441
DCA Master
Avg 5.9 entries/market
Whale
$489,452 invested
Consistent
204/300 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#2,682$15,371Vol: $831,788
₿ CRYPTO#1,623,591$-1,210Vol: $147,422
🎭 CULTURE#2,222$3,159Vol: $78,065
⚽ SPORTS#1,787,887$-444Vol: $73,711
💻 TECH#3,275$272Vol: $63,614
📈 ECONOMICS#677,132$-810Vol: $31,238
💰 FINANCE#2,811$1,648Vol: $23,847
📢 MENTIONS#2,526$411Vol: $5,917

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$18,441
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,256,064
Total Redeem
$2,582
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
711
total markets
Trades
3111B / 1332S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~556d

Periods

#2
Today
$20
Vol: $0
Week
$86
Vol: $0
Month
$20
Vol: $0
All Time
$18,441
Vol: $1,256,064

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
421W / 236L events
Realized PnL
$18,441
Win Rate
64%
421W / 236L
Profit Factor
1.9x
Avg Win
$81
Avg Loss
$-80

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,691 (0.20013643348975826% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$1,317
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$1,230
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?$1,144
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1,140
Will XRP reach $2.70 in April?$1,132
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?$1,049
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$973
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$921
Ethereum all time high by March 31?$817
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$809

Top Losers

Ethereum all time high before 2026?$-6,327
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-1,378
Biden drops out of presidential race?$-564
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$-532
US recession in 2025?$-432
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$-362
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?$-344
Will Elise Stefanik be out as Ambassador to the United Nations in Trump's first 100 days?$-336
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?$-308
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$-297

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.119
Sortino
0.082
HHI
140
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
16.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1226s — normal for humanCV 3.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.86
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.8%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)64.9%

Sessions

#12
4/13/2026, 6:10:57 AM76 trades$21,69420 min
1/20/2025, 10:43:33 PM3 trades$15,9521 min
3/1/2026, 4:23:57 PM6 trades$9,9906 min
11/7/2024, 11:47:27 PM1 trades$9,9600 min
3/1/2026, 4:31:17 AM1 trades$9,9600 min
1/20/2025, 7:09:41 PM5 trades$8,9225 min
3/29/2026, 7:48:16 PM3 trades$8,4143 min
12/27/2024, 5:43:16 AM1 trades$8,2470 min
1/20/2025, 5:11:25 PM1 trades$8,1980 min
7/3/2024, 6:49:58 AM1 trades$8,1020 min
4/22/2025, 8:56:42 PM1 trades$7,9920 min
1/20/2025, 8:05:05 PM2 trades$7,9760 min
1/20/2025, 5:17:55 PM6 trades$7,9525 min
7/10/2024, 7:47:19 PM1 trades$7,8040 min
6/25/2025, 4:51:37 AM1 trades$7,7920 min
12/28/2024, 1:43:58 AM2 trades$7,4402 min
8/12/2024, 1:54:35 AM1 trades$7,2340 min
3/29/2026, 7:18:28 PM1 trades$6,9650 min
4/1/2026, 2:48:03 AM2 trades$6,3920 min
12/27/2024, 4:25:46 AM2 trades$6,3911 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
08-23
12-11
03-30
09-19
03-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 61 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.8 / M11.4 / H64.9