@nuevasesperanzas
#280,010260x227d3f89ce08623908d6385436b1304b9fd1901a
~15d· 60 markets · 209 tradesVol: $18,6492026-08-05 16:37:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
52% (24/46)11.1/20
0.81x (win $797 / loss $989)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8210/15
Sortino -2.0380/10
$-0.0527 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 460 (46 markets)10/10
9/19 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 239% of peak ($420 / $176)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+69
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
3💰 FINANCE#17,937$102Vol: $14,126
⚽ SPORTS#1,694,475$-115Vol: $1,300
📈 ECONOMICS#78,702$3Vol: $100
Overview
#1Net PnL
$69
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,649
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
60
total markets
Trades
127B / 82S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d
Periods
#2Today
$119
Vol: $175
Week
$186
Vol: $890
Month
$178
Vol: $983
All Time
$69
Vol: $18,649
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
24W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$69
Win Rate
52%
24W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-47
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $252 (3.6713703811463487% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.2B?$100
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.25B by July 31?$81
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Cloud revenue be above $60B?$71
Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth 4.5%-5.5%?$70
Will Intel (INTC) Q2 Data Center & AI revenue be above $6.5B?$59
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $11.2B?$49
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?$42
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $18B?$38
Will Corning (GLW) Q2 Optical Communications sales be above $2B?$32
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$30
Top Losers
Will Intel (INTC) Q2 Data Center & AI revenue be above $6B?$-438
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) Q3 QCT chip revenue be above $8.5B?$-232
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$-113
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $10.8B?$-98
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$-33
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-28
Will American Express (AXP) Q2 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20B?$-14
Will Blackstone (BX) Q2 total assets under management be above $1.35T?$-8
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $10.6B?$-6
Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 total revenue be above $6.8B?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.093
Sortino
-0.089
HHI
341
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.059
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.4%
Top-5 markets
27.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
10.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
49.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2973s — normal for humanCV 1.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal2.9 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.35
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)53.5%
Mid (20-55c)8.7%
High (>55c)37.8%
Sessions
#127/31/2026, 10:42:11 AM12 trades$5110 min
7/17/2026, 9:27:07 AM8 trades$4620 min
7/21/2026, 3:18:33 PM3 trades$3560 min
7/22/2026, 3:48:45 PM5 trades$3054 min
7/19/2026, 4:26:55 PM5 trades$3050 min
7/20/2026, 1:16:45 PM6 trades$2330 min
7/18/2026, 7:44:58 PM3 trades$2000 min
7/20/2026, 3:19:09 PM4 trades$2000 min
7/31/2026, 3:32:06 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/31/2026, 9:31:33 PM4 trades$2000 min
7/18/2026, 11:18:40 AM4 trades$1944 min
7/17/2026, 9:05:18 PM4 trades$1730 min
7/20/2026, 6:19:09 PM5 trades$1660 min
7/22/2026, 10:51:58 AM6 trades$1550 min
7/20/2026, 12:58:43 PM4 trades$1510 min
7/31/2026, 10:53:21 AM2 trades$1320 min
7/20/2026, 11:01:54 AM5 trades$1050 min
7/21/2026, 9:54:46 AM3 trades$1020 min
7/17/2026, 5:12:03 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/20/2026, 12:04:24 PM1 trades$980 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-22 21:00:00
2026-07-23 12:00:00
2026-07-23 21:00:00
2026-07-28 00:00:00
2026-07-28 21:00:00
2026-08-01 18:00:00
2026-11-01 00:00:00
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.35/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.5 / M8.7 / H37.8