@Dubloon69247

#2,720,28131

0x22b6e6cdd86dc90c88843de45df9df18d86056cb

~109d· 1511 markets · 7585 tradesVol: $39,2592026-08-04 17:20:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (825/1440)13.6/20
0.84x (win $1,362 / loss $1,617)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0840/15
Sortino -4.4120/10
$-0.0241 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 37 (1440 markets)10/10
51/90 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 10191% of peak ($259 / $3)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
76% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,530,178$-190Vol: $32,844
🌤️ WEATHER#262,184$-21Vol: $2,486
SPORTS#1,273,520$-7Vol: $2,202
🏛️ POLITICS#155,503$13Vol: $819
💰 FINANCE#75,316$5Vol: $330
🎭 CULTURE#647,139$-5Vol: $248
💻 TECH#220,683$-6Vol: $174
📈 ECONOMICS#87,585$2Vol: $133
📢 MENTIONS#92,063$-2Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-211
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,259
Total Redeem
$16
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1511
total markets
Trades
5409B / 2176S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~109d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $3
Week
$-1
Vol: $12
Month
$-2
Vol: $12
All Time
$-211
Vol: $39,259

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
825W / 615L events
Realized PnL
$-211
Win Rate
57%
825W / 615L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $61 (0.28817010797499526% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?$21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 1?$21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 29?$19
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 26?$14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?$14
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$14
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$13
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$12
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$11

Top Losers

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-48
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-23
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on May 3?$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$-17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 29?$-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$-13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 1?$-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$-13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.213
Sortino
-0.193
HHI
14
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.024
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
2.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
37.2
Active
Markets / Day
7.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.1m
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
53 min
Avg Trades / Session
77.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — normal for humanCV 1.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock37 trades/day — high frequency7.4 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.19
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.1%
Mid (20-55c)67.4%
High (>55c)24.5%

Sessions

#12
2/12/2026, 3:01:03 AM388 trades$1,067226 min
2/12/2026, 6:55:05 AM198 trades$640119 min
2/16/2026, 3:25:05 AM231 trades$610157 min
2/20/2026, 2:16:10 AM242 trades$557124 min
1/22/2026, 3:32:02 AM230 trades$410163 min
2/13/2026, 2:50:23 AM137 trades$40492 min
1/22/2026, 6:22:06 AM207 trades$377121 min
2/20/2026, 5:05:10 AM155 trades$25998 min
1/31/2026, 3:00:38 PM121 trades$21780 min
1/19/2026, 8:30:14 AM161 trades$216109 min
1/18/2026, 6:18:44 PM129 trades$20189 min
2/12/2026, 11:30:05 PM48 trades$19530 min
1/18/2026, 5:42:12 AM129 trades$192118 min
7/20/2026, 9:09:03 PM2 trades$1800 min
1/18/2026, 8:43:20 PM114 trades$17498 min
1/31/2026, 11:45:42 PM86 trades$17353 min
2/20/2026, 1:35:26 AM58 trades$14930 min
1/19/2026, 5:28:26 AM106 trades$14975 min
7/20/2026, 1:57:54 AM2 trades$1430 min
1/21/2026, 3:45:16 AM73 trades$12266 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
02-12
03-17
04-07
06-16
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 192 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
36% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.19/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L8.1 / M67.4 / H24.5