@Tortugas

#2,202,17476

0x23e3889b86d3d3becfbfd18982d1d049a2c10b8e

~17d· 23 markets · 67 tradesVol: $38,3952026-09-10 17:57:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (11/18)15.6/20
16.52x (win $478 / loss $29)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.17415/15
Sortino 188.11210/10
$+0.0303 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 8186 (18 markets)0/10
8/12 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($17 / $449)10/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Consistent
8/12 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 4%

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,446,987$-36Vol: $29,420
⚽ SPORTS#238,582$19Vol: $8,524
📈 ECONOMICS#149,416$0Vol: $386
🎭 CULTURE#610,429$-3Vol: $39
₿ CRYPTO#1,110,633$-7Vol: $19
💰 FINANCE#146,889$1Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-26
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$38,395
Total Redeem
$25
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
26B / 41S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $0
Week
$-16
Vol: $0
Month
$-13
Vol: $0
All Time
$-26
Vol: $38,395

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
11W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-9
Win Rate
61%
11W / 7L
Profit Factor
16.52x
Avg Win
$43
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $457 (49.76278563656149% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$420
Will Team Shaq win the 2025 NBA All Star Game Tournament?$25
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$12
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?$10
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$5
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$3
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?$1
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?$0
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$0

Top Losers

Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$-8
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$-7
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get between 50m-75m views on day 1?$-5
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$-4
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.309
Sortino
14.621
HHI
3180
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.050
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
56.4%
Top-5 markets
59.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
19s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
19
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 19s — normal for humanCV 2.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.61
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.7%
Mid (20-55c)19.2%
High (>55c)73.1%

Sessions

#12
8/27/2026, 11:29:37 AM18 trades$9,9591 min
6/15/2026, 10:03:27 PM1 trades$3,9900 min
4/10/2026, 3:49:43 PM20 trades$1,6210 min
8/27/2026, 7:29:28 PM1 trades$5000 min
6/16/2026, 11:25:27 AM2 trades$3780 min
11/29/2024, 6:16:13 PM4 trades$1941 min
6/14/2024, 3:05:12 PM1 trades$1890 min
6/20/2024, 2:47:10 PM1 trades$1850 min
12/5/2024, 5:40:33 PM1 trades$1690 min
1/22/2025, 6:08:35 AM2 trades$680 min
6/15/2026, 3:37:25 PM4 trades$600 min
2/14/2025, 7:29:58 PM2 trades$320 min
12/22/2025, 8:38:11 AM1 trades$250 min
1/24/2025, 1:23:01 AM1 trades$250 min
9/30/2025, 4:19:43 PM3 trades$200 min
4/9/2026, 1:41:45 AM1 trades$180 min
6/28/2025, 1:59:27 PM1 trades$50 min
9/4/2024, 7:26:07 PM1 trades$50 min
9/14/2024, 12:44:31 PM2 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-20
11-29
01-22
02-14
09-30
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 132 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.7 / M19.2 / H73.1