debased

@debased

#11260

0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1

~857d· 1659 markets · 906524 tradesVol: $516,032,900 @debased_PM2026-08-02 06:22:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (803/1617)9.8/20
1.24x (win $222,096 / loss $179,680)5.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.70713.3/15
Sortino 1.02610/10
$+0.0123 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 139 (1617 markets)10/10
278/500 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 49% of peak ($27,435 / $55,537)4.1/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+1,483,119
Lottery Player
68% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
1% sells
DCA Master
Avg 11.0 entries/market
Whale
$3,451,299 invested
High Roller
$3,090/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#35$958,305Vol: $230,036,791
SPORTS#1,880,825$-40,173Vol: $146,501,921
📈 ECONOMICS#12$302,560Vol: $82,092,977
🎭 CULTURE#132$51,881Vol: $26,659,436
CRYPTO#361$94,757Vol: $12,345,272
💻 TECH#39$34,020Vol: $6,411,878
📢 MENTIONS#286$6,380Vol: $3,519,913
💰 FINANCE#138$28,876Vol: $2,659,985
🌤️ WEATHER#1,382$1,226Vol: $184,351

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,485,750
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$516,032,900
Total Redeem
$11,678,736
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1659
total markets
Trades
12303B / 5702S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~857d

Periods

#2
Today
$2,133
Vol: $6,547
Week
$2,412
Vol: $6,547
Month
$2,642
Vol: $44,296
All Time
$1,485,750
Vol: $516,032,900

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
2727W / 1501L events
Realized PnL
$1,483,119
Win Rate
65%
2727W / 1501L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$277
Avg Loss
$-224

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $47,295 (0.03188896349743428% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$22,807
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$13,430
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11,059
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$10,551
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$8,997
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$5,751
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$5,641
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$5,592
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$5,364
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5,262

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-25,012
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$-10,676
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-9,299
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8,893
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,892
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$-6,719
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$-3,667
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,585
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-3,419
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-3,151

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.037
Sortino
0.037
HHI
163
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.8%
Top-5 markets
21.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
811.6
Very active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 490s — normal for humanCV 8.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock812 trades/day — automation1.5 markets/day — normal2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)68.1%
Mid (20-55c)7.7%
High (>55c)24.2%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2025, 4:44:07 PM3 trades$139,5480 min
9/3/2025, 7:32:40 PM1 trades$94,4780 min
5/9/2026, 7:00:49 PM1 trades$91,8210 min
4/30/2026, 6:02:10 AM2 trades$88,0650 min
9/16/2025, 11:32:48 PM1 trades$78,6340 min
12/25/2025, 6:14:49 PM2 trades$69,0080 min
2/3/2026, 12:25:54 AM1 trades$68,0930 min
3/25/2026, 11:48:29 AM1 trades$66,9330 min
6/3/2025, 12:41:44 PM1 trades$55,3330 min
9/16/2025, 10:57:00 PM1 trades$54,2110 min
4/23/2025, 6:23:50 AM1 trades$53,3480 min
10/28/2025, 5:47:55 PM1 trades$52,2650 min
3/12/2026, 8:25:37 PM1 trades$47,5870 min
6/2/2025, 12:17:03 AM5 trades$47,1090 min
11/5/2025, 2:18:37 AM3 trades$44,4873 min
4/30/2026, 10:10:06 PM2 trades$40,0000 min
3/3/2026, 12:41:27 AM1 trades$36,4950 min
5/7/2026, 8:34:34 PM2 trades$31,5490 min
2/3/2026, 1:28:52 PM2 trades$31,0850 min
3/1/2026, 3:37:39 AM3 trades$30,5752 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-18
11-20
02-20
06-14
10-30
03-20
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 167 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L68.1 / M7.7 / H24.2