Polydata

@0x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-1770665598557

#3,048,91226

0x25db6ca5935ae858a5c1f2dcd5c62939805328de

~155d· 269 markets · 53152 tradesVol: $16,368,9972026-07-31 20:26:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (118/231)10.5/20
0.35x (win $246,547 / loss $700,092)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0170/15
Sortino -2.0200/10
$-0.1648 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 587 (231 markets)9.6/10
47/91 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 1350% of peak ($527,725 / $39,090)0/10

Badges

7
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 195.4 entries/market
Whale
$2,751,459 invested
High Roller
$5,638/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#3,924$9,558Vol: $9,168,987
📈 ECONOMICS#681,765$-23,652Vol: $5,287,254
💰 FINANCE#779$7,173Vol: $1,876,784
CRYPTO#1,619,437$-1,140Vol: $26,757
📢 MENTIONS#131,977$-11Vol: $600
SPORTS#1,088,506$-2Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,938
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,368,997
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
269
total markets
Trades
35039B / 18113S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~155d

Periods

#2
Today
$571
Vol: $69,048
Week
$-9,166
Vol: $639,196
Month
$17,307
Vol: $3,515,231
All Time
$-7,938
Vol: $16,368,997

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
51%
118W / 113L events
Realized PnL
$-8,514
Win Rate
51%
118W / 113L
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$2,089
Avg Loss
$-6,196

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $61,454 (7.218051656702569% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$31,723
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$15,135
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$14,596
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$14,377
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$13,467
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$12,573
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$10,710
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10,087
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?$9,300
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$9,104

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-442,513
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-23,563
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-21,654
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-20,141
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$-18,544
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-17,105
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$-15,857
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$-14,894
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$-11,177
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$-10,594

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.105
Sortino
-0.074
HHI
502
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.195
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.7%
Top-5 markets
39.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
108.9
Very active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.7m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
32 min
Avg Trades / Session
102.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 82s — normal for humanCV 3.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock109 trades/day — automation0.6 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
195.39
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.2%
Mid (20-55c)25%
High (>55c)40.8%

Sessions

#12
5/10/2026, 8:06:19 PM374 trades$90,05548 min
4/21/2026, 7:26:30 PM173 trades$77,44955 min
7/28/2026, 10:14:44 PM87 trades$73,0315 min
7/25/2026, 1:40:09 PM12 trades$67,6851 min
4/22/2026, 11:59:10 PM142 trades$62,14248 min
7/11/2026, 10:11:02 PM87 trades$56,22635 min
5/24/2026, 2:07:09 PM108 trades$54,22423 min
5/8/2026, 6:02:19 PM192 trades$53,85722 min
5/10/2026, 8:58:58 PM190 trades$53,4408 min
4/7/2026, 10:22:57 PM516 trades$52,563151 min
5/23/2026, 8:08:48 PM40 trades$44,95414 min
6/11/2026, 5:24:15 PM185 trades$43,48540 min
7/15/2026, 6:11:49 AM15 trades$42,5831 min
7/20/2026, 11:21:19 AM29 trades$40,54319 min
4/24/2026, 10:45:38 AM231 trades$37,58468 min
4/21/2026, 2:33:28 PM220 trades$36,399119 min
6/12/2026, 1:28:30 PM157 trades$29,94218 min
7/28/2026, 10:41:13 PM48 trades$29,48210 min
6/15/2026, 3:33:45 AM41 trades$28,25027 min
4/21/2026, 6:38:02 PM95 trades$27,75441 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
03-23
04-10
04-30
05-31
06-21
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 60 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 195.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34.2 / M25 / H40.8