@negativePNL
#30,846610x267568e60bccc61e876fbb3607fba7c47ee12374
~275d· 542 markets · 1895 tradesVol: $137,9692026-08-02 04:06:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (198/525)3.9/20
1.32x (win $19,810 / loss $15,041)6.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.22815/15
Sortino 4.56910/10
$+0.1338 per $1 invested6.7/10
HHI 117 (525 markets)10/10
82/204 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 40% of peak ($2,020 / $5,045)6/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+3,949
Contrarian
81% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#8,191$3,382Vol: $54,388
🎭 CULTURE#7,611$532Vol: $46,803
📢 MENTIONS#4,081$194Vol: $8,306
⚽ SPORTS#1,694,624$-117Vol: $7,648
₿ CRYPTO#83,973$116Vol: $6,303
💻 TECH#255,198$-511Vol: $4,854
📈 ECONOMICS#666,360$-179Vol: $3,344
💰 FINANCE#5,562$664Vol: $3,009
🌤️ WEATHER#277,577$-58Vol: $250
Overview
#1Net PnL
$3,914
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$137,969
Total Redeem
$450
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
542
total markets
Trades
1674B / 221S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~275d
Periods
#2Today
$-87
Vol: $0
Week
$-113
Vol: $0
Month
$-80
Vol: $0
All Time
$3,914
Vol: $137,969
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
198W / 327L events
Realized PnL
$3,949
Win Rate
38%
198W / 327L
Profit Factor
1.32x
Avg Win
$100
Avg Loss
$-46
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,539 (0.6427773824927266% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1,012
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$828
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$698
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$645
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?$557
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?$551
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?$500
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$406
US military action against Iran by Monday?$375
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?$371
Top Losers
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$-600
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-573
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?$-366
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?$-309
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-240
Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?$-200
Will Trump say Hezbollah during Netanyahu events on September 29?$-191
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$-189
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$-187
Trump releases Epstein list today?$-177
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.116
Sortino
0.237
HHI
80
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.140
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
15.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 616s — normal for humanCV 2.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.32
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)25.8%
Mid (20-55c)55%
High (>55c)19.2%
Sessions
#1211/5/2024, 3:06:55 PM2 trades$1,7851 min
11/10/2024, 12:45:56 PM2 trades$1,0831 min
1/20/2025, 2:05:05 PM2 trades$9861 min
1/20/2025, 12:10:23 PM1 trades$9020 min
9/29/2025, 1:31:57 PM11 trades$8647 min
7/20/2026, 9:08:00 PM10 trades$8644 min
1/20/2025, 3:07:41 PM3 trades$8534 min
12/2/2024, 2:25:00 AM1 trades$8000 min
12/25/2025, 10:32:05 PM3 trades$6392 min
10/13/2025, 10:32:49 AM10 trades$63112 min
1/20/2025, 12:24:07 PM4 trades$6024 min
3/15/2026, 6:37:09 PM3 trades$5775 min
9/29/2025, 1:47:11 PM5 trades$5164 min
3/15/2026, 10:50:41 PM3 trades$4766 min
1/26/2026, 1:18:38 AM5 trades$4403 min
12/27/2024, 9:11:40 PM3 trades$4274 min
6/2/2025, 1:25:35 AM1 trades$3960 min
2/27/2025, 2:47:52 AM4 trades$3743 min
3/4/2025, 9:49:48 PM18 trades$36725 min
10/19/2025, 10:56:21 AM12 trades$32323 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-26
01-23
03-19
06-13
12-02
03-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 221 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.32/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L25.8 / M55 / H19.2