@moneyBalll

#2,943,2050

0x268d5cdc4b6b67add2f58b950bc500c799484820

~45d· 92 markets · 591 tradesVol: $374,2012026-08-04 19:57:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

7% (6/89)0/20
0.27x (win $450 / loss $1,666)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -16.2850/15
Sortino -12.4940/10
$-0.4696 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3505 (89 markets)0/10
3/32 profitable days (9%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,216 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
96% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,610,791$-878Vol: $314,272
📈 ECONOMICS#644,964$-43Vol: $26,979
🎭 CULTURE#781,737$-101Vol: $11,633
₿ CRYPTO#1,402,411$-55Vol: $10,389
📢 MENTIONS#134,554$-13Vol: $4,974
⚽ SPORTS#1,610,084$-56Vol: $3,771
💰 FINANCE#166,296$0Vol: $2,182

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,146
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$374,201
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
92
total markets
Trades
341B / 250S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

Periods

#2
Today
$-16
Vol: $0
Week
$-20
Vol: $3,319
Month
$-20
Vol: $3,319
All Time
$-1,146
Vol: $374,201

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
7%
6W / 83L events
Realized PnL
$-1,146
Win Rate
7%
6W / 83L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$75
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $442 (0.38547486033519557% of PnL)

Top Winners

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$442

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-400
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?$-178
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?$-100
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?$-78
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?$-48
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$-40
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?$-40
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-37
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$-33
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.839
Sortino
-0.874
HHI
3397
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.306
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
39%
Top-5 markets
109.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 392s — normal for humanCV 3.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.91
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)96.2%
Mid (20-55c)0.3%
High (>55c)3.5%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 8:56:21 PM3 trades$33,3330 min
4/6/2026, 1:25:11 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
4/1/2026, 4:43:31 PM7 trades$5,9430 min
4/14/2026, 7:53:32 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
4/2/2026, 10:03:23 PM7 trades$2,8900 min
4/9/2026, 7:20:57 PM64 trades$2,3892 min
7/25/2026, 8:42:54 AM17 trades$1,4250 min
4/10/2026, 10:10:21 PM54 trades$1,2926 min
4/12/2026, 9:13:57 AM40 trades$1,1453 min
6/16/2026, 5:07:13 PM2 trades$1,1000 min
3/31/2026, 9:20:49 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
4/12/2026, 9:57:11 PM7 trades$8330 min
4/7/2026, 11:34:59 PM4 trades$7152 min
7/16/2026, 9:30:10 PM11 trades$7120 min
4/11/2026, 2:45:47 PM30 trades$5981 min
4/12/2026, 10:48:57 AM51 trades$4641 min
6/12/2026, 6:15:24 PM5 trades$3431 min
4/12/2026, 8:35:39 PM4 trades$3390 min
6/15/2026, 5:46:12 AM8 trades$3120 min
6/12/2026, 3:16:54 PM34 trades$3060 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
02-05
03-17
03-31
04-10
04-22
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.91/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L96.2 / M0.3 / H3.5